BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
PHX→MSP

Phoenix, AZ (PHX) to Minneapolis, MN (MSP) flight delay odds

82.6% of 3,080 official scheduled PHX-to-MSP flights arrived on time; 10.7% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 0.8% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
82.6%arrived on time
10.7%30+ min late
0.8%cancelled
3,080scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late5.6%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.6%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.3%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+3.0 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for PHX to MSP?

Among qualifying PHX-to-MSP departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 89.8% of 667 flights. Evening was lowest at 75.1% across 770 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning66789.8%6.3%0.7%
Late morning81188.4%6.2%0.2%
Afternoon63976.2%14.2%0.8%
Evening77075.1%16.9%1.2%
Night19383.9%9.3%2.6%

Which weekday was most reliable for PHX to MSP?

Among qualifying PHX-to-MSP weekday results, Wednesday had the highest on-time rate: 85.3% of 422 flights. Sunday was lowest at 77.8% across 445 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday44382.2%13.3%0.5%
Tuesday42684.7%8.9%1.4%
Wednesday42285.3%9.5%0.2%
Thursday44285.3%8.4%0.7%
Friday44583.1%10.1%0.7%
Saturday45779.9%12.0%1.1%
Sunday44577.8%12.8%1.3%

Which airline was most reliable for PHX to MSP?

Among qualifying PHX-to-MSP airline results, Delta Air Lines had the highest on-time rate: 85.4% of 2,073 flights. Southwest Airlines was lowest at 71.1% across 284 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines2,07385.4%9.0%0.7%
American Airlines64778.8%14.2%1.1%
Southwest Airlines28471.1%15.8%1.4%
Frontier Airlines7481.1%9.5%1.4%
Envoy Air250.0%50.0%0.0%

Which month was most reliable for PHX to MSP?

Among qualifying PHX-to-MSP month results, April 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 89.2% of 259 flights. December 2025 was lowest at 77.3% across 269 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202527279.8%13.6%0.4%
August 202525182.9%12.0%0.0%
September 202522985.2%10.0%0.9%
October 202527085.9%6.7%0.0%
November 202524683.3%10.6%0.8%
December 202526977.3%13.4%0.7%
January 202624577.6%13.5%1.2%
February 202626280.5%13.4%0.0%
March 202633779.2%8.6%4.2%
April 202625989.2%7.3%0.0%
May 202623383.7%11.6%0.9%
June 202620788.9%8.7%0.0%

What drove PHX to MSP delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded PHX-to-MSP delay category, accounting for 49.2% of 38,827 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline41.4%
Late aircraft49.2%
National airspace7.7%
Weather1.5%
Security0.2%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.