BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MSP→PHX

Minneapolis, MN (MSP) to Phoenix, AZ (PHX) flight delay odds

79.0% of 3,081 official scheduled MSP-to-PHX flights arrived on time; 12.7% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 0.8% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
79.0%arrived on time
12.7%30+ min late
0.8%cancelled
3,081scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late6.2%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.3%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.3%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+6.5 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MSP to PHX?

Among qualifying MSP-to-PHX departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 85.2% of 813 flights. Evening was lowest at 71.4% across 448 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning81385.2%6.6%0.9%
Late morning79980.2%12.1%0.9%
Afternoon79577.5%14.0%0.6%
Evening44871.4%19.6%0.9%
Night22673.0%18.1%1.3%

Which weekday was most reliable for MSP to PHX?

Among qualifying MSP-to-PHX weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 81.6% of 423 flights. Sunday was lowest at 74.5% across 447 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday44578.4%13.0%0.9%
Tuesday42381.6%10.9%0.7%
Wednesday42480.9%11.1%0.7%
Thursday44279.0%12.9%0.5%
Friday45078.4%12.4%0.0%
Saturday45080.7%12.7%0.7%
Sunday44774.5%15.7%2.5%

Which airline was most reliable for MSP to PHX?

Among qualifying MSP-to-PHX airline results, Southwest Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 87.3% of 284 flights. American Airlines was lowest at 77.9% across 647 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines2,07478.1%13.4%0.7%
American Airlines64777.9%12.8%1.4%
Southwest Airlines28487.3%7.4%0.4%
Frontier Airlines7483.8%12.2%1.4%
Envoy Air250.0%0.0%50.0%

Which month was most reliable for MSP to PHX?

Among qualifying MSP-to-PHX month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 85.7% of 231 flights. December 2025 was lowest at 64.2% across 268 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202527377.7%15.4%0.0%
August 202525184.5%8.8%0.0%
September 202523185.7%6.5%0.4%
October 202526882.1%9.7%0.0%
November 202524877.0%14.9%0.4%
December 202526864.2%23.9%0.7%
January 202624570.6%18.4%1.6%
February 202626075.8%17.3%0.0%
March 202633780.7%7.1%4.5%
April 202625985.3%9.3%0.0%
May 202623482.5%12.4%1.3%
June 202620784.1%8.7%0.0%

What drove MSP to PHX delay minutes?

Airline was the largest recorded MSP-to-PHX delay category, accounting for 58.1% of 43,741 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline58.1%
Late aircraft22.2%
National airspace17.2%
Weather2.5%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.