BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
PHX→BFL

Phoenix, AZ (PHX) to Bakersfield, CA (BFL) flight delay odds

78.3% of 1,288 official scheduled PHX-to-BFL flights arrived on time; 13.0% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.8% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
78.3%arrived on time
13.0%30+ min late
1.8%cancelled
1,288scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late8.4%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.4%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.5%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+8.7 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for PHX to BFL?

Among qualifying PHX-to-BFL departure window results, Late morning had the highest on-time rate: 80.2% of 364 flights. Night was lowest at 73.6% across 110 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning20179.6%10.4%3.5%
Late morning36480.2%12.9%0.5%
Afternoon33977.9%15.0%0.9%
Evening27477.0%12.8%1.5%
Night11073.6%12.7%6.4%

Which weekday was most reliable for PHX to BFL?

Among qualifying PHX-to-BFL weekday results, Thursday had the highest on-time rate: 83.9% of 199 flights. Saturday was lowest at 76.2% across 168 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday19076.8%16.3%2.1%
Tuesday16577.6%10.9%1.2%
Wednesday17277.9%15.1%1.2%
Thursday19983.9%9.0%1.0%
Friday19177.5%12.0%3.1%
Saturday16876.2%13.1%2.4%
Sunday20377.3%14.8%1.5%

Which airline was most reliable for PHX to BFL?

Among qualifying PHX-to-BFL airline results, American Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 79.7% of 350 flights. SkyWest Airlines was lowest at 77.5% across 822 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
SkyWest Airlines82277.5%13.4%2.3%
American Airlines35079.7%12.6%1.1%
Envoy Air11679.3%12.1%0.0%

Which month was most reliable for PHX to BFL?

Among qualifying PHX-to-BFL month results, May 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 91.4% of 116 flights. January 2026 was lowest at 65.2% across 135 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20259279.3%10.9%0.0%
August 20257582.7%13.3%0.0%
September 20256885.3%10.3%2.9%
October 202510278.4%15.7%0.0%
November 202512869.5%17.2%6.2%
December 202512775.6%15.0%0.8%
January 202613565.2%19.3%7.4%
February 202610072.0%16.0%1.0%
March 202612282.8%10.7%0.0%
April 202611681.0%11.2%0.0%
May 202611691.4%5.2%0.0%
June 202610783.2%9.3%0.9%

What drove PHX to BFL delay minutes?

Airline was the largest recorded PHX-to-BFL delay category, accounting for 43.4% of 20,495 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline43.4%
Late aircraft38.8%
National airspace4.2%
Weather13.6%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.