BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
BFLPHX

Bakersfield, CA (BFL) to Phoenix, AZ (PHX) flight delay odds

Historically, 81.6% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 1,289 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
81.6%arrived on time
12.6%30+ min late
1.8%cancelled
1,289scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late8.8%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.4%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+6.2 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning35388.1%5.7%2.8%
Late morning20682.0%11.2%3.4%
Afternoon53079.6%15.8%0.9%
Evening19975.4%17.1%0.5%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday18475.5%18.5%2.2%
Tuesday17085.9%8.8%1.2%
Wednesday17282.0%14.0%0.6%
Thursday19986.9%8.0%1.0%
Friday19180.1%14.1%2.6%
Saturday16983.4%9.5%3.0%
Sunday20477.9%14.7%2.0%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
SkyWest Airlines82280.7%13.4%2.3%
American Airlines35081.7%12.6%1.1%
Envoy Air11788.0%6.8%0.0%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20259284.8%8.7%0.0%
August 20257589.3%9.3%0.0%
September 20256886.8%4.4%2.9%
October 202510278.4%17.6%0.0%
November 202512969.8%17.1%5.4%
December 202512682.5%13.5%0.8%
January 202613664.0%20.6%8.1%
February 202610083.0%13.0%1.0%
March 202612287.7%11.5%0.0%
April 202611685.3%12.1%0.0%
May 202611691.4%5.2%0.0%
June 202610786.0%11.2%0.9%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline35.4%
Late aircraft44.3%
National airspace8.2%
Weather11.8%
Security0.4%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.