BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
OAK→PHX

Oakland, CA (OAK) to Phoenix, AZ (PHX) flight delay odds

77.1% of 1,932 official scheduled OAK-to-PHX flights arrived on time; 13.6% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 0.3% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
77.1%arrived on time
13.6%30+ min late
0.3%cancelled
1,932scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late6.2%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.0%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+8.3 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for OAK to PHX?

Among qualifying OAK-to-PHX departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 91.7% of 516 flights. Night was lowest at 65.6% across 90 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning51691.7%3.7%0.6%
Late morning27183.0%8.5%0.0%
Afternoon53772.8%14.5%0.2%
Evening51866.0%23.6%0.2%
Night9065.6%22.2%0.0%

Which weekday was most reliable for OAK to PHX?

Among qualifying OAK-to-PHX weekday results, Saturday had the highest on-time rate: 85.2% of 250 flights. Monday was lowest at 70.2% across 289 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday28970.2%19.4%0.0%
Tuesday26782.4%6.4%0.4%
Wednesday26082.3%11.5%0.0%
Thursday28475.0%15.5%0.0%
Friday28972.7%18.0%0.3%
Saturday25085.2%7.6%0.8%
Sunday29374.1%15.0%0.3%

Which airline was most reliable for OAK to PHX?

Only Southwest Airlines met the OAK-to-PHX airline threshold: 77.1% of 1,931 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines1,93177.1%13.6%0.3%
SkyWest Airlines1100.0%0.0%0.0%

Which month was most reliable for OAK to PHX?

Among qualifying OAK-to-PHX month results, February 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 88.5% of 148 flights. June 2026 was lowest at 69.4% across 157 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202517973.7%17.3%0.0%
August 202514381.1%11.9%0.0%
September 202513478.4%10.4%0.0%
October 202517072.4%18.2%0.0%
November 202515876.6%11.4%1.3%
December 202516569.7%18.2%0.0%
January 202615287.5%5.3%0.0%
February 202614888.5%3.4%0.0%
March 202617780.8%11.9%1.1%
April 202617078.2%17.6%0.0%
May 202617972.1%16.2%0.0%
June 202615769.4%17.8%0.6%

What drove OAK to PHX delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded OAK-to-PHX delay category, accounting for 59.8% of 23,496 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline31.8%
Late aircraft59.8%
National airspace7.6%
Weather0.5%
Security0.2%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.