BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
OAKPHX

Oakland, CA (OAK) to Phoenix, AZ (PHX) flight delay odds

Historically, 77.1% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 1,932 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
77.1%arrived on time
13.6%30+ min late
0.3%cancelled
1,932scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late6.2%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.0%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+8.3 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning51691.7%3.7%0.6%
Late morning27183.0%8.5%0.0%
Afternoon53772.8%14.5%0.2%
Evening51866.0%23.6%0.2%
Night9065.6%22.2%0.0%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday28970.2%19.4%0.0%
Tuesday26782.4%6.4%0.4%
Wednesday26082.3%11.5%0.0%
Thursday28475.0%15.5%0.0%
Friday28972.7%18.0%0.3%
Saturday25085.2%7.6%0.8%
Sunday29374.1%15.0%0.3%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines1,93177.1%13.6%0.3%
SkyWest Airlines1100.0%0.0%0.0%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202517973.7%17.3%0.0%
August 202514381.1%11.9%0.0%
September 202513478.4%10.4%0.0%
October 202517072.4%18.2%0.0%
November 202515876.6%11.4%1.3%
December 202516569.7%18.2%0.0%
January 202615287.5%5.3%0.0%
February 202614888.5%3.4%0.0%
March 202617780.8%11.9%1.1%
April 202617078.2%17.6%0.0%
May 202617972.1%16.2%0.0%
June 202615769.4%17.8%0.6%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline31.8%
Late aircraft59.8%
National airspace7.6%
Weather0.5%
Security0.2%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.