BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
PHX→OAK

Phoenix, AZ (PHX) to Oakland, CA (OAK) flight delay odds

75.3% of 1,939 official scheduled PHX-to-OAK flights arrived on time; 13.8% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 0.4% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
75.3%arrived on time
13.8%30+ min late
0.4%cancelled
1,939scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late5.3%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late1.7%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.0%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+7.6 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for PHX to OAK?

Among qualifying PHX-to-OAK departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 92.3% of 416 flights. Night was lowest at 57.7% across 227 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning41692.3%2.2%1.2%
Late morning29582.7%6.1%0.7%
Afternoon49475.5%14.4%0.2%
Evening50764.7%20.3%0.0%
Night22757.7%29.1%0.0%

Which weekday was most reliable for PHX to OAK?

Among qualifying PHX-to-OAK weekday results, Saturday had the highest on-time rate: 78.2% of 248 flights. Sunday was lowest at 69.7% across 294 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday29375.4%15.0%0.3%
Tuesday26776.0%11.2%0.7%
Wednesday26075.8%11.9%0.4%
Thursday28775.6%12.2%0.3%
Friday29076.9%12.4%0.3%
Saturday24878.2%12.1%0.4%
Sunday29469.7%20.7%0.3%

Which airline was most reliable for PHX to OAK?

Only Southwest Airlines met the PHX-to-OAK airline threshold: 75.3% of 1,939 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines1,93975.3%13.8%0.4%

Which month was most reliable for PHX to OAK?

Among qualifying PHX-to-OAK month results, January 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 84.2% of 152 flights. June 2026 was lowest at 63.9% across 169 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202517969.3%19.6%0.6%
August 202514282.4%8.5%0.0%
September 202513482.1%11.2%0.0%
October 202517076.5%11.8%0.0%
November 202515777.1%13.4%2.5%
December 202516470.1%18.9%0.0%
January 202615284.2%7.9%0.0%
February 202614883.8%8.8%0.7%
March 202617780.8%9.0%0.6%
April 202617071.8%13.5%0.0%
May 202617766.7%20.9%0.0%
June 202616963.9%18.9%0.6%

What drove PHX to OAK delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded PHX-to-OAK delay category, accounting for 58.6% of 22,923 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline38.0%
Late aircraft58.6%
National airspace2.7%
Weather0.7%
Security0.1%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.