BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
DFWMSP

Dallas/Fort Worth, TX (DFW) to Minneapolis, MN (MSP) flight delay odds

Historically, 71.9% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 3,259 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
71.9%arrived on time
18.1%30+ min late
2.4%cancelled
3,259scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late10.1%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late4.2%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+13.6 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning75383.9%9.2%2.0%
Late morning72975.6%16.9%2.1%
Afternoon83369.5%19.2%1.8%
Evening70965.9%22.0%2.5%
Night23548.9%34.9%6.4%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday47972.9%19.8%1.9%
Tuesday45174.7%15.7%2.2%
Wednesday44073.6%16.8%0.7%
Thursday49474.9%14.6%0.8%
Friday48776.4%16.0%1.4%
Saturday40566.9%22.5%4.4%
Sunday50363.8%21.7%5.4%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
American Airlines1,61663.9%22.8%3.4%
Delta Air Lines1,41180.2%13.3%1.4%
Frontier Airlines22977.7%14.0%1.3%
Envoy Air2100.0%0.0%0.0%
SkyWest Airlines10.0%100.0%0.0%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202528067.9%23.9%1.4%
August 202526864.9%24.6%3.0%
September 202525579.6%14.9%1.2%
October 202529878.2%15.1%0.7%
November 202526975.8%15.2%2.2%
December 202527664.1%23.2%0.7%
January 202625968.7%16.2%7.7%
February 202624080.4%10.4%0.8%
March 202629274.7%13.0%5.1%
April 202625876.4%14.3%0.4%
May 202627874.5%16.5%1.8%
June 202628659.4%28.3%3.5%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline32.8%
Late aircraft48.4%
National airspace12.0%
Weather6.8%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.