BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
DFW→MSP

Dallas/Fort Worth, TX (DFW) to Minneapolis, MN (MSP) flight delay odds

71.9% of 3,259 official scheduled DFW-to-MSP flights arrived on time; 18.1% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 2.4% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
71.9%arrived on time
18.1%30+ min late
2.4%cancelled
3,259scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late10.1%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late4.2%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+13.6 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for DFW to MSP?

Among qualifying DFW-to-MSP departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 83.9% of 753 flights. Night was lowest at 48.9% across 235 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning75383.9%9.2%2.0%
Late morning72975.6%16.9%2.1%
Afternoon83369.5%19.2%1.8%
Evening70965.9%22.0%2.5%
Night23548.9%34.9%6.4%

Which weekday was most reliable for DFW to MSP?

Among qualifying DFW-to-MSP weekday results, Friday had the highest on-time rate: 76.4% of 487 flights. Sunday was lowest at 63.8% across 503 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday47972.9%19.8%1.9%
Tuesday45174.7%15.7%2.2%
Wednesday44073.6%16.8%0.7%
Thursday49474.9%14.6%0.8%
Friday48776.4%16.0%1.4%
Saturday40566.9%22.5%4.4%
Sunday50363.8%21.7%5.4%

Which airline was most reliable for DFW to MSP?

Among qualifying DFW-to-MSP airline results, Delta Air Lines had the highest on-time rate: 80.2% of 1,411 flights. American Airlines was lowest at 63.9% across 1,616 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
American Airlines1,61663.9%22.8%3.4%
Delta Air Lines1,41180.2%13.3%1.4%
Frontier Airlines22977.7%14.0%1.3%
Envoy Air2100.0%0.0%0.0%
SkyWest Airlines10.0%100.0%0.0%

Which month was most reliable for DFW to MSP?

Among qualifying DFW-to-MSP month results, February 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 80.4% of 240 flights. June 2026 was lowest at 59.4% across 286 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202528067.9%23.9%1.4%
August 202526864.9%24.6%3.0%
September 202525579.6%14.9%1.2%
October 202529878.2%15.1%0.7%
November 202526975.8%15.2%2.2%
December 202527664.1%23.2%0.7%
January 202625968.7%16.2%7.7%
February 202624080.4%10.4%0.8%
March 202629274.7%13.0%5.1%
April 202625876.4%14.3%0.4%
May 202627874.5%16.5%1.8%
June 202628659.4%28.3%3.5%

What drove DFW to MSP delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded DFW-to-MSP delay category, accounting for 48.4% of 62,437 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline32.8%
Late aircraft48.4%
National airspace12.0%
Weather6.8%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.