BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MSPDFW

Minneapolis, MN (MSP) to Dallas/Fort Worth, TX (DFW) flight delay odds

Historically, 73.9% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 3,261 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
73.9%arrived on time
15.4%30+ min late
2.5%cancelled
3,261scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late8.6%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.7%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.9%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+10.0 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning96681.6%8.9%2.4%
Late morning81179.0%12.2%1.8%
Afternoon78368.2%20.6%2.3%
Evening62762.5%23.3%3.3%
Night7473.0%14.9%4.1%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday47976.8%15.7%2.1%
Tuesday45179.2%13.3%1.1%
Wednesday44272.2%13.6%1.8%
Thursday49476.9%13.8%0.8%
Friday48774.5%15.2%1.8%
Saturday40468.3%19.3%3.7%
Sunday50468.7%17.5%5.8%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
American Airlines1,61872.4%16.0%3.5%
Delta Air Lines1,41176.1%14.2%1.3%
Frontier Airlines22970.7%18.8%1.7%
Envoy Air366.7%33.3%0.0%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202528165.5%24.2%1.1%
August 202526874.6%14.9%3.0%
September 202525679.3%10.9%1.2%
October 202529882.6%10.4%1.0%
November 202527079.3%11.5%1.9%
December 202527665.2%24.6%1.1%
January 202625868.2%15.1%8.1%
February 202624081.7%11.2%0.8%
March 202629279.8%9.6%5.5%
April 202625974.9%13.9%0.4%
May 202627773.6%15.9%1.8%
June 202628662.6%22.0%3.5%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline40.7%
Late aircraft36.5%
National airspace19.4%
Weather3.4%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.