BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MSP→DFW

Minneapolis, MN (MSP) to Dallas/Fort Worth, TX (DFW) flight delay odds

73.9% of 3,261 official scheduled MSP-to-DFW flights arrived on time; 15.4% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 2.5% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
73.9%arrived on time
15.4%30+ min late
2.5%cancelled
3,261scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late8.6%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.7%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.9%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+10.0 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MSP to DFW?

Among qualifying MSP-to-DFW departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 81.6% of 966 flights. Evening was lowest at 62.5% across 627 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning96681.6%8.9%2.4%
Late morning81179.0%12.2%1.8%
Afternoon78368.2%20.6%2.3%
Evening62762.5%23.3%3.3%
Night7473.0%14.9%4.1%

Which weekday was most reliable for MSP to DFW?

Among qualifying MSP-to-DFW weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 79.2% of 451 flights. Saturday was lowest at 68.3% across 404 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday47976.8%15.7%2.1%
Tuesday45179.2%13.3%1.1%
Wednesday44272.2%13.6%1.8%
Thursday49476.9%13.8%0.8%
Friday48774.5%15.2%1.8%
Saturday40468.3%19.3%3.7%
Sunday50468.7%17.5%5.8%

Which airline was most reliable for MSP to DFW?

Among qualifying MSP-to-DFW airline results, Delta Air Lines had the highest on-time rate: 76.1% of 1,411 flights. Frontier Airlines was lowest at 70.7% across 229 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
American Airlines1,61872.4%16.0%3.5%
Delta Air Lines1,41176.1%14.2%1.3%
Frontier Airlines22970.7%18.8%1.7%
Envoy Air366.7%33.3%0.0%

Which month was most reliable for MSP to DFW?

Among qualifying MSP-to-DFW month results, October 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 82.6% of 298 flights. June 2026 was lowest at 62.6% across 286 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202528165.5%24.2%1.1%
August 202526874.6%14.9%3.0%
September 202525679.3%10.9%1.2%
October 202529882.6%10.4%1.0%
November 202527079.3%11.5%1.9%
December 202527665.2%24.6%1.1%
January 202625868.2%15.1%8.1%
February 202624081.7%11.2%0.8%
March 202629279.8%9.6%5.5%
April 202625974.9%13.9%0.4%
May 202627773.6%15.9%1.8%
June 202628662.6%22.0%3.5%

What drove MSP to DFW delay minutes?

Airline was the largest recorded MSP-to-DFW delay category, accounting for 40.7% of 61,733 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline40.7%
Late aircraft36.5%
National airspace19.4%
Weather3.4%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.