BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
XNA→ORD

Fayetteville, AR (XNA) to Chicago, IL (ORD) flight delay odds

74.1% of 1,736 official scheduled XNA-to-ORD flights arrived on time; 17.1% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.8% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
74.1%arrived on time
17.1%30+ min late
1.8%cancelled
1,736scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late10.1%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late4.3%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.5%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+10.9 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for XNA to ORD?

Among qualifying XNA-to-ORD departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 82.5% of 567 flights. Evening was lowest at 59.1% across 369 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning56782.5%12.3%0.9%
Late morning36682.0%12.6%0.5%
Afternoon43269.2%19.2%1.6%
Evening36959.1%26.3%4.6%

Which weekday was most reliable for XNA to ORD?

Among qualifying XNA-to-ORD weekday results, Saturday had the highest on-time rate: 79.1% of 230 flights. Monday was lowest at 70.4% across 270 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday27070.4%21.9%2.2%
Tuesday20373.4%18.7%1.0%
Wednesday24375.3%16.5%1.2%
Thursday26274.0%14.9%2.7%
Friday26073.8%16.9%0.8%
Saturday23079.1%11.7%1.7%
Sunday26873.5%18.3%2.6%

Which airline was most reliable for XNA to ORD?

Among qualifying XNA-to-ORD airline results, SkyWest Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 76.9% of 52 flights. Envoy Air was lowest at 74.0% across 1,548 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Envoy Air1,54874.0%17.4%1.7%
Republic Airways12676.2%11.9%2.4%
SkyWest Airlines5276.9%13.5%1.9%
American Airlines955.6%33.3%0.0%
United Airlines10.0%100.0%0.0%

Which month was most reliable for XNA to ORD?

Among qualifying XNA-to-ORD month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 84.3% of 121 flights. July 2025 was lowest at 61.7% across 141 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202514161.7%24.8%2.8%
August 202513473.9%16.4%1.5%
September 202512184.3%11.6%0.0%
October 202514376.9%13.3%0.0%
November 202513070.0%18.5%2.3%
December 202512474.2%21.0%0.8%
January 20268980.9%10.1%3.4%
February 202612480.6%11.3%0.0%
March 202617568.6%22.3%2.9%
April 202620674.3%16.0%3.4%
May 202619177.0%15.7%1.0%
June 202615872.2%19.6%2.5%

What drove XNA to ORD delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded XNA-to-ORD delay category, accounting for 44.8% of 34,069 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline18.9%
Late aircraft44.8%
National airspace26.8%
Weather9.3%
Security0.1%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.