BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
ORDXNA

Chicago, IL (ORD) to Fayetteville, AR (XNA) flight delay odds

Historically, 74.6% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 1,733 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
74.6%arrived on time
15.5%30+ min late
2.0%cancelled
1,733scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late8.1%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.5%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.3%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+4.8 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning33986.4%8.0%0.9%
Late morning24479.1%12.7%1.2%
Afternoon32872.3%16.5%0.3%
Evening69069.1%19.6%3.6%
Night13269.7%15.9%2.3%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday27074.1%17.0%2.6%
Tuesday20278.7%9.9%1.0%
Wednesday24171.8%19.1%1.7%
Thursday26172.8%13.4%2.7%
Friday26074.2%17.3%1.2%
Saturday23076.5%12.6%2.2%
Sunday26974.7%17.5%2.6%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Envoy Air1,54574.6%15.4%1.7%
Republic Airways12677.8%11.9%4.0%
SkyWest Airlines5265.4%25.0%5.8%
American Airlines966.7%22.2%0.0%
United Airlines1100.0%0.0%0.0%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202514166.0%16.3%4.3%
August 202513479.9%10.4%2.2%
September 202512081.7%9.2%0.0%
October 202514383.2%9.8%0.0%
November 202513178.6%15.3%2.3%
December 202512261.5%27.0%0.8%
January 20268970.8%18.0%3.4%
February 202612376.4%18.7%0.0%
March 202617667.0%21.6%4.0%
April 202620574.6%14.1%2.4%
May 202619184.3%9.4%1.6%
June 202615868.4%18.4%2.5%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline15.8%
Late aircraft46.7%
National airspace25.2%
Weather12.3%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.