BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
ORD→XNA

Chicago, IL (ORD) to Fayetteville, AR (XNA) flight delay odds

74.6% of 1,733 official scheduled ORD-to-XNA flights arrived on time; 15.5% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 2.0% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
74.6%arrived on time
15.5%30+ min late
2.0%cancelled
1,733scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late8.1%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.5%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.3%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+4.8 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for ORD to XNA?

Among qualifying ORD-to-XNA departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 86.4% of 339 flights. Evening was lowest at 69.1% across 690 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning33986.4%8.0%0.9%
Late morning24479.1%12.7%1.2%
Afternoon32872.3%16.5%0.3%
Evening69069.1%19.6%3.6%
Night13269.7%15.9%2.3%

Which weekday was most reliable for ORD to XNA?

Among qualifying ORD-to-XNA weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 78.7% of 202 flights. Wednesday was lowest at 71.8% across 241 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday27074.1%17.0%2.6%
Tuesday20278.7%9.9%1.0%
Wednesday24171.8%19.1%1.7%
Thursday26172.8%13.4%2.7%
Friday26074.2%17.3%1.2%
Saturday23076.5%12.6%2.2%
Sunday26974.7%17.5%2.6%

Which airline was most reliable for ORD to XNA?

Among qualifying ORD-to-XNA airline results, Republic Airways had the highest on-time rate: 77.8% of 126 flights. SkyWest Airlines was lowest at 65.4% across 52 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Envoy Air1,54574.6%15.4%1.7%
Republic Airways12677.8%11.9%4.0%
SkyWest Airlines5265.4%25.0%5.8%
American Airlines966.7%22.2%0.0%
United Airlines1100.0%0.0%0.0%

Which month was most reliable for ORD to XNA?

Among qualifying ORD-to-XNA month results, May 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 84.3% of 191 flights. December 2025 was lowest at 61.5% across 122 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202514166.0%16.3%4.3%
August 202513479.9%10.4%2.2%
September 202512081.7%9.2%0.0%
October 202514383.2%9.8%0.0%
November 202513178.6%15.3%2.3%
December 202512261.5%27.0%0.8%
January 20268970.8%18.0%3.4%
February 202612376.4%18.7%0.0%
March 202617667.0%21.6%4.0%
April 202620574.6%14.1%2.4%
May 202619184.3%9.4%1.6%
June 202615868.4%18.4%2.5%

What drove ORD to XNA delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded ORD-to-XNA delay category, accounting for 46.7% of 24,968 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline15.8%
Late aircraft46.7%
National airspace25.2%
Weather12.3%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.