BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
TPA→ORD

Tampa, FL (TPA) to Chicago, IL (ORD) flight delay odds

71.2% of 3,214 official scheduled TPA-to-ORD flights arrived on time; 18.1% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.5% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
71.2%arrived on time
18.1%30+ min late
1.5%cancelled
3,214scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late9.9%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late5.2%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.7%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+16.6 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for TPA to ORD?

Among qualifying TPA-to-ORD departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 87.8% of 833 flights. Night was lowest at 45.7% across 46 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning83387.8%7.0%0.4%
Late morning37376.1%14.2%2.1%
Afternoon1,44067.6%21.4%1.3%
Evening52253.4%28.0%2.9%
Night4645.7%39.1%8.7%

Which weekday was most reliable for TPA to ORD?

Among qualifying TPA-to-ORD weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 77.8% of 418 flights. Sunday was lowest at 62.8% across 489 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday48367.9%20.7%2.5%
Tuesday41877.8%13.2%1.0%
Wednesday40476.5%14.9%0.5%
Thursday48372.0%16.8%1.0%
Friday47369.8%19.7%0.8%
Saturday46473.5%17.0%2.4%
Sunday48962.8%23.5%2.2%

Which airline was most reliable for TPA to ORD?

Among qualifying TPA-to-ORD airline results, United Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 74.3% of 1,403 flights. Frontier Airlines was lowest at 58.4% across 173 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
United Airlines1,40374.3%15.2%0.5%
American Airlines1,14071.1%18.5%1.9%
Spirit Airlines28166.9%23.5%3.2%
Southwest Airlines21466.8%21.0%0.9%
Frontier Airlines17358.4%27.7%5.2%
Envoy Air2100.0%0.0%0.0%
Republic Airways1100.0%0.0%0.0%

Which month was most reliable for TPA to ORD?

Among qualifying TPA-to-ORD month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 88.8% of 205 flights. March 2026 was lowest at 59.5% across 341 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202522962.9%24.5%0.4%
August 202522575.6%16.9%0.9%
September 202520588.8%7.3%0.0%
October 202523682.6%11.0%0.0%
November 202528171.9%17.4%3.6%
December 202533569.3%20.6%2.1%
January 202630065.0%20.0%3.3%
February 202628570.9%16.8%0.0%
March 202634159.5%24.9%3.8%
April 202631574.0%14.9%1.3%
May 202625070.4%20.4%0.0%
June 202621272.6%18.4%0.9%

What drove TPA to ORD delay minutes?

National airspace was the largest recorded TPA-to-ORD delay category, accounting for 36.8% of 74,098 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline21.6%
Late aircraft35.8%
National airspace36.8%
Weather5.7%
Security0.1%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.