BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
ORD→TPA

Chicago, IL (ORD) to Tampa, FL (TPA) flight delay odds

71.8% of 3,217 official scheduled ORD-to-TPA flights arrived on time; 18.2% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.5% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
71.8%arrived on time
18.2%30+ min late
1.5%cancelled
3,217scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late10.3%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late4.5%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+14.2 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for ORD to TPA?

Among qualifying ORD-to-TPA departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 81.6% of 707 flights. Evening was lowest at 63.2% across 731 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning70781.6%9.8%1.7%
Late morning83377.3%14.6%1.1%
Afternoon93966.6%21.1%1.6%
Evening73163.2%26.7%1.4%

Which weekday was most reliable for ORD to TPA?

Among qualifying ORD-to-TPA weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 81.3% of 417 flights. Sunday was lowest at 63.9% across 488 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday48169.2%20.2%2.3%
Tuesday41781.3%11.5%1.0%
Wednesday40775.9%16.0%0.5%
Thursday48578.6%14.4%1.0%
Friday47267.4%19.7%0.8%
Saturday46768.1%20.8%1.5%
Sunday48863.9%23.8%2.9%

Which airline was most reliable for ORD to TPA?

Among qualifying ORD-to-TPA airline results, United Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 77.9% of 1,403 flights. Frontier Airlines was lowest at 63.6% across 173 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
United Airlines1,40377.9%13.1%0.5%
American Airlines1,14166.4%22.6%1.9%
Spirit Airlines28369.3%22.6%2.8%
Southwest Airlines21470.6%17.8%0.9%
Frontier Airlines17363.6%24.3%4.6%
Envoy Air250.0%0.0%0.0%
Republic Airways1100.0%0.0%0.0%

Which month was most reliable for ORD to TPA?

Among qualifying ORD-to-TPA month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 82.0% of 205 flights. March 2026 was lowest at 60.4% across 341 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202522969.4%21.0%0.4%
August 202522574.7%18.2%0.9%
September 202520582.0%11.7%0.0%
October 202523679.2%12.3%0.0%
November 202528077.1%15.4%3.9%
December 202533763.8%25.5%1.5%
January 202630073.7%18.0%2.3%
February 202628677.3%15.0%0.3%
March 202634160.4%24.3%3.8%
April 202631671.5%14.2%0.9%
May 202625070.4%18.8%0.4%
June 202621269.3%20.3%1.4%

What drove ORD to TPA delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded ORD-to-TPA delay category, accounting for 49.6% of 67,818 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline22.3%
Late aircraft49.6%
National airspace22.5%
Weather5.2%
Security0.5%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.