BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
SMFPHX

Sacramento, CA (SMF) to Phoenix, AZ (PHX) flight delay odds

Historically, 81.0% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 3,668 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
81.0%arrived on time
10.9%30+ min late
0.5%cancelled
3,668scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late5.8%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.0%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+5.4 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning1,07592.7%3.5%0.4%
Late morning52686.7%6.7%0.6%
Afternoon1,28674.4%14.2%0.7%
Evening68772.2%18.5%0.3%
Night9469.1%18.1%1.1%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday53977.4%14.3%0.9%
Tuesday53282.0%9.4%0.2%
Wednesday52184.1%9.8%0.2%
Thursday55279.9%10.3%0.4%
Friday53681.0%10.8%0.9%
Saturday43484.6%9.4%0.5%
Sunday55479.1%11.9%0.5%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines2,14778.4%11.5%0.5%
American Airlines1,07686.8%8.7%0.6%
SkyWest Airlines33379.3%14.4%0.3%
Envoy Air11279.5%9.8%0.9%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202531578.7%13.0%0.3%
August 202526485.2%8.0%0.4%
September 202524184.2%5.8%2.1%
October 202528073.9%17.5%0.4%
November 202533074.5%13.3%1.5%
December 202534682.1%10.1%0.6%
January 202629985.3%8.4%0.7%
February 202628884.4%9.7%0.0%
March 202635481.6%10.5%0.3%
April 202633985.3%9.1%0.0%
May 202634181.8%11.4%0.3%
June 202627174.9%13.3%0.0%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline30.2%
Late aircraft58.7%
National airspace9.8%
Weather0.8%
Security0.3%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.