BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
SMF→PHX

Sacramento, CA (SMF) to Phoenix, AZ (PHX) flight delay odds

81.0% of 3,668 official scheduled SMF-to-PHX flights arrived on time; 10.9% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 0.5% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
81.0%arrived on time
10.9%30+ min late
0.5%cancelled
3,668scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late5.8%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.0%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+5.4 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for SMF to PHX?

Among qualifying SMF-to-PHX departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 92.7% of 1,075 flights. Night was lowest at 69.1% across 94 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning1,07592.7%3.5%0.4%
Late morning52686.7%6.7%0.6%
Afternoon1,28674.4%14.2%0.7%
Evening68772.2%18.5%0.3%
Night9469.1%18.1%1.1%

Which weekday was most reliable for SMF to PHX?

Among qualifying SMF-to-PHX weekday results, Saturday had the highest on-time rate: 84.6% of 434 flights. Monday was lowest at 77.4% across 539 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday53977.4%14.3%0.9%
Tuesday53282.0%9.4%0.2%
Wednesday52184.1%9.8%0.2%
Thursday55279.9%10.3%0.4%
Friday53681.0%10.8%0.9%
Saturday43484.6%9.4%0.5%
Sunday55479.1%11.9%0.5%

Which airline was most reliable for SMF to PHX?

Among qualifying SMF-to-PHX airline results, American Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 86.8% of 1,076 flights. Southwest Airlines was lowest at 78.4% across 2,147 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines2,14778.4%11.5%0.5%
American Airlines1,07686.8%8.7%0.6%
SkyWest Airlines33379.3%14.4%0.3%
Envoy Air11279.5%9.8%0.9%

Which month was most reliable for SMF to PHX?

Among qualifying SMF-to-PHX month results, January 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 85.3% of 299 flights. October 2025 was lowest at 73.9% across 280 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202531578.7%13.0%0.3%
August 202526485.2%8.0%0.4%
September 202524184.2%5.8%2.1%
October 202528073.9%17.5%0.4%
November 202533074.5%13.3%1.5%
December 202534682.1%10.1%0.6%
January 202629985.3%8.4%0.7%
February 202628884.4%9.7%0.0%
March 202635481.6%10.5%0.3%
April 202633985.3%9.1%0.0%
May 202634181.8%11.4%0.3%
June 202627174.9%13.3%0.0%

What drove SMF to PHX delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded SMF-to-PHX delay category, accounting for 58.7% of 42,283 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline30.2%
Late aircraft58.7%
National airspace9.8%
Weather0.8%
Security0.3%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.