BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
SDFLGA

Louisville, KY (SDF) to New York, NY (LGA) flight delay odds

Historically, 79.3% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 1,063 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALHigher disruption
79.3%arrived on time
11.6%30+ min late
4.3%cancelled
1,063scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late6.3%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late1.9%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.3%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival-0.6 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning38986.6%6.9%3.3%
Late morning13880.4%11.6%0.7%
Afternoon33975.2%14.5%5.6%
Evening19771.1%15.7%6.6%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday16578.8%10.9%5.5%
Tuesday16876.2%10.7%6.0%
Wednesday16282.7%9.9%1.9%
Thursday16275.3%16.0%5.6%
Friday16482.9%12.8%3.0%
Saturday8786.2%5.7%0.0%
Sunday15576.1%12.3%6.5%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Republic Airways1,02780.0%11.2%3.8%
SkyWest Airlines3560.0%20.0%20.0%
American Airlines10.0%100.0%0.0%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202511575.7%13.0%8.7%
August 20259190.1%6.6%0.0%
September 20259891.8%5.1%1.0%
October 20259281.5%12.0%3.3%
November 20259572.6%20.0%4.2%
December 20259070.0%22.2%1.1%
January 20265778.9%7.0%7.0%
February 20265269.2%11.5%9.6%
March 20267962.0%12.7%16.5%
April 20268782.8%11.5%1.1%
May 202611684.5%9.5%1.7%
June 20269184.6%6.6%2.2%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline34.3%
Late aircraft16.5%
National airspace43.1%
Weather6.2%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.