BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
LGA→SDF

New York, NY (LGA) to Louisville, KY (SDF) flight delay odds

76.8% of 1,062 official scheduled LGA-to-SDF flights arrived on time; 13.8% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 3.6% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
76.8%arrived on time
13.8%30+ min late
3.6%cancelled
1,062scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late8.6%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.6%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+1.8 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for LGA to SDF?

Among qualifying LGA-to-SDF departure window results, Late morning had the highest on-time rate: 84.4% of 301 flights. Evening was lowest at 63.7% across 366 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning12883.6%9.4%0.8%
Late morning30184.4%8.6%1.7%
Afternoon26783.1%10.1%3.4%
Evening36663.7%22.4%6.3%

Which weekday was most reliable for LGA to SDF?

Among qualifying LGA-to-SDF weekday results, Saturday had the highest on-time rate: 88.5% of 87 flights. Sunday was lowest at 70.3% across 155 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday16475.0%14.6%6.1%
Tuesday16782.0%9.6%3.6%
Wednesday16376.1%16.0%2.5%
Thursday16272.2%15.4%4.9%
Friday16478.7%13.4%0.6%
Saturday8788.5%5.7%0.0%
Sunday15570.3%18.7%5.8%

Which airline was most reliable for LGA to SDF?

Among qualifying LGA-to-SDF airline results, SkyWest Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 88.6% of 35 flights. Republic Airways was lowest at 76.5% across 1,026 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Republic Airways1,02676.5%14.0%3.6%
SkyWest Airlines3588.6%5.7%2.9%
American Airlines10.0%100.0%0.0%

Which month was most reliable for LGA to SDF?

Among qualifying LGA-to-SDF month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 88.7% of 97 flights. March 2026 was lowest at 63.3% across 79 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202511565.2%22.6%5.2%
August 20259186.8%6.6%1.1%
September 20259788.7%8.2%1.0%
October 20259275.0%14.1%1.1%
November 20259574.7%15.8%5.3%
December 20259073.3%16.7%3.3%
January 20265778.9%10.5%7.0%
February 20265276.9%11.5%7.7%
March 20267963.3%17.7%11.4%
April 20268881.8%12.5%0.0%
May 202611576.5%15.7%1.7%
June 20269182.4%9.9%2.2%

What drove LGA to SDF delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded LGA-to-SDF delay category, accounting for 37.6% of 15,397 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline25.3%
Late aircraft37.6%
National airspace25.7%
Weather11.3%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.