BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
SDF→DCA

Louisville, KY (SDF) to Washington, DC (DCA) flight delay odds

75.0% of 1,029 official scheduled SDF-to-DCA flights arrived on time; 13.3% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 4.7% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALHigher disruption
75.0%arrived on time
13.3%30+ min late
4.7%cancelled
1,029scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late7.7%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.3%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.3%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+10.7 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for SDF to DCA?

Among qualifying SDF-to-DCA departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 90.5% of 357 flights. Afternoon was lowest at 57.4% across 197 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning35790.5%5.6%1.4%
Late morning34475.0%10.2%5.8%
Afternoon19757.4%29.9%4.6%
Evening13159.5%17.6%10.7%

Which weekday was most reliable for SDF to DCA?

Among qualifying SDF-to-DCA weekday results, Saturday had the highest on-time rate: 82.3% of 130 flights. Sunday was lowest at 72.8% across 147 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday15074.7%13.3%6.0%
Tuesday15574.2%16.1%3.9%
Wednesday15273.0%13.8%3.9%
Thursday14775.5%12.2%4.1%
Friday14873.6%14.2%3.4%
Saturday13082.3%6.9%4.6%
Sunday14772.8%15.6%6.8%

Which airline was most reliable for SDF to DCA?

Among qualifying SDF-to-DCA airline results, Republic Airways had the highest on-time rate: 84.7% of 439 flights. PSA Airlines was lowest at 67.5% across 572 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
PSA Airlines57267.5%17.1%7.0%
Republic Airways43984.7%8.2%1.6%
Envoy Air1384.6%7.7%7.7%
American Airlines560.0%40.0%0.0%

Which month was most reliable for SDF to DCA?

Among qualifying SDF-to-DCA month results, October 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 87.1% of 93 flights. June 2026 was lowest at 65.1% across 86 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20258865.9%12.5%12.5%
August 20258880.7%13.6%3.4%
September 20259081.1%5.6%1.1%
October 20259387.1%5.4%0.0%
November 20258470.2%15.5%6.0%
December 20256369.8%14.3%6.3%
January 20268369.9%14.5%12.0%
February 20268469.0%19.0%8.3%
March 20269070.0%18.9%1.1%
April 20269085.6%8.9%1.1%
May 20269082.2%12.2%0.0%
June 20268665.1%20.9%5.8%

What drove SDF to DCA delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded SDF-to-DCA delay category, accounting for 37.7% of 19,674 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline36.9%
Late aircraft37.7%
National airspace24.0%
Weather1.2%
Security0.1%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.