BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
RDU→MSP

Raleigh/Durham, NC (RDU) to Minneapolis, MN (MSP) flight delay odds

82.9% of 1,230 official scheduled RDU-to-MSP flights arrived on time; 10.7% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.3% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
82.9%arrived on time
10.7%30+ min late
1.3%cancelled
1,230scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late5.1%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.0%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+2.0 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for RDU to MSP?

Among qualifying RDU-to-MSP departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 88.5% of 365 flights. Evening was lowest at 74.5% across 333 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning36588.5%6.0%1.6%
Late morning27185.6%7.4%1.8%
Afternoon26183.1%12.6%0.0%
Evening33374.5%17.1%1.5%

Which weekday was most reliable for RDU to MSP?

Among qualifying RDU-to-MSP weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 88.6% of 184 flights. Sunday was lowest at 78.3% across 180 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday18382.0%10.9%1.6%
Tuesday18488.6%8.2%0.0%
Wednesday17986.0%7.3%0.6%
Thursday17884.3%7.3%0.0%
Friday18081.1%13.3%0.0%
Saturday14679.5%13.7%3.4%
Sunday18078.3%15.0%3.9%

Which airline was most reliable for RDU to MSP?

Only Delta Air Lines met the RDU-to-MSP airline threshold: 83.0% of 1,227 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines1,22783.0%10.8%1.2%
SkyWest Airlines366.7%0.0%33.3%

Which month was most reliable for RDU to MSP?

Among qualifying RDU-to-MSP month results, October 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 94.0% of 116 flights. December 2025 was lowest at 63.7% across 91 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202511969.7%18.5%0.8%
August 202511587.8%10.4%0.0%
September 202510789.7%6.5%0.0%
October 202511694.0%3.4%0.0%
November 202510691.5%4.7%0.9%
December 20259163.7%24.2%3.3%
January 20267470.3%18.9%8.1%
February 20267882.1%12.8%0.0%
March 20268975.3%16.9%3.4%
April 202610490.4%6.7%0.0%
May 202611888.1%2.5%1.7%
June 202611384.1%9.7%0.0%

What drove RDU to MSP delay minutes?

Airline was the largest recorded RDU-to-MSP delay category, accounting for 47.6% of 14,085 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline47.6%
Late aircraft43.0%
National airspace8.2%
Weather1.2%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.