BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MSP→RDU

Minneapolis, MN (MSP) to Raleigh/Durham, NC (RDU) flight delay odds

80.4% of 1,230 official scheduled MSP-to-RDU flights arrived on time; 11.4% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.1% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
80.4%arrived on time
11.4%30+ min late
1.1%cancelled
1,230scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late4.7%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late1.7%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+1.3 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MSP to RDU?

Among qualifying MSP-to-RDU departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 87.8% of 335 flights. Afternoon was lowest at 75.3% across 328 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning33587.8%5.7%1.8%
Late morning20384.7%7.9%0.0%
Afternoon32875.3%15.5%1.2%
Evening36475.8%14.8%1.1%

Which weekday was most reliable for MSP to RDU?

Among qualifying MSP-to-RDU weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 86.4% of 184 flights. Sunday was lowest at 71.7% across 180 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday18382.5%9.3%1.1%
Tuesday18486.4%8.7%0.0%
Wednesday17982.7%10.1%0.0%
Thursday17880.9%9.6%0.0%
Friday18081.7%10.6%1.1%
Saturday14676.0%17.8%1.4%
Sunday18071.7%15.0%4.4%

Which airline was most reliable for MSP to RDU?

Only Delta Air Lines met the MSP-to-RDU airline threshold: 80.5% of 1,227 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines1,22780.5%11.4%1.1%
SkyWest Airlines333.3%0.0%33.3%

Which month was most reliable for MSP to RDU?

Among qualifying MSP-to-RDU month results, October 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 94.0% of 116 flights. July 2025 was lowest at 63.9% across 119 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202511963.9%22.7%0.8%
August 202511581.7%9.6%0.0%
September 202510787.9%6.5%0.0%
October 202511694.0%3.4%0.0%
November 202510690.6%7.5%0.9%
December 20259168.1%20.9%3.3%
January 20267475.7%9.5%8.1%
February 20267884.6%9.0%0.0%
March 20268967.4%19.1%2.2%
April 202610484.6%10.6%0.0%
May 202611884.7%6.8%0.8%
June 202611377.9%12.4%0.0%

What drove MSP to RDU delay minutes?

Airline was the largest recorded MSP-to-RDU delay category, accounting for 50.8% of 12,569 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline50.8%
Late aircraft22.0%
National airspace25.2%
Weather2.0%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.