BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
PHXMCO

Phoenix, AZ (PHX) to Orlando, FL (MCO) flight delay odds

Historically, 74.3% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 1,843 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
74.3%arrived on time
12.9%30+ min late
0.7%cancelled
1,843scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late5.2%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.0%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.8%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+8.3 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning41277.4%9.7%0.2%
Late morning28374.9%14.1%0.7%
Afternoon32159.2%22.4%1.2%
Evening7970.9%17.7%1.3%
Night74879.1%9.5%0.7%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday27278.7%12.5%2.2%
Tuesday24075.0%10.4%0.8%
Wednesday24076.7%12.9%0.0%
Thursday27369.6%15.4%0.4%
Friday27075.9%8.9%1.1%
Saturday26374.9%12.5%0.0%
Sunday28569.8%16.8%0.4%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines85675.8%11.6%0.6%
American Airlines79272.5%14.4%0.6%
Frontier Airlines19574.9%12.3%1.5%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202514571.0%13.8%0.0%
August 202510973.4%13.8%0.0%
September 20259287.0%8.7%1.1%
October 202514578.6%13.1%0.0%
November 202517177.8%9.9%1.2%
December 202518576.2%12.4%0.0%
January 202615979.2%8.8%1.9%
February 202616775.4%12.0%0.0%
March 202619453.1%18.6%3.1%
April 202616981.1%12.4%0.0%
May 202615766.9%21.0%0.0%
June 202615080.7%7.3%0.7%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline44.7%
Late aircraft37.3%
National airspace17.6%
Weather0.3%
Security0.2%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.