BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MCO→PHX

Orlando, FL (MCO) to Phoenix, AZ (PHX) flight delay odds

76.8% of 1,842 official scheduled MCO-to-PHX flights arrived on time; 13.2% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 0.5% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
76.8%arrived on time
13.2%30+ min late
0.5%cancelled
1,842scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late7.3%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.3%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.5%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+7.4 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MCO to PHX?

Among qualifying MCO-to-PHX departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 88.4% of 646 flights. Evening was lowest at 62.0% across 534 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning64688.4%4.2%0.6%
Late morning28181.5%10.0%0.4%
Afternoon28776.0%12.5%0.0%
Evening53462.0%26.2%0.4%
Night9470.2%13.8%2.1%

Which weekday was most reliable for MCO to PHX?

Among qualifying MCO-to-PHX weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 81.7% of 240 flights. Sunday was lowest at 67.7% across 294 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday27172.7%17.3%1.5%
Tuesday24081.7%8.8%0.8%
Wednesday24081.2%8.8%0.4%
Thursday27277.9%11.8%0.0%
Friday26879.9%11.6%0.0%
Saturday25778.6%12.1%0.0%
Sunday29467.7%20.7%0.7%

Which airline was most reliable for MCO to PHX?

Among qualifying MCO-to-PHX airline results, Frontier Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 80.9% of 194 flights. American Airlines was lowest at 74.9% across 796 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines85277.7%10.9%0.2%
American Airlines79674.9%16.0%0.6%
Frontier Airlines19480.9%12.4%1.0%

Which month was most reliable for MCO to PHX?

Among qualifying MCO-to-PHX month results, November 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 84.8% of 171 flights. August 2025 was lowest at 65.5% across 110 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202514466.0%26.4%0.0%
August 202511065.5%24.5%0.0%
September 20259075.6%8.9%0.0%
October 202514574.5%13.8%0.0%
November 202517184.8%10.5%0.0%
December 202519278.1%10.9%0.0%
January 202615777.7%10.8%1.9%
February 202616678.3%9.6%0.0%
March 202619382.4%9.8%3.1%
April 202616874.4%12.5%0.0%
May 202615677.6%10.9%0.0%
June 202615080.0%14.7%0.0%

What drove MCO to PHX delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded MCO-to-PHX delay category, accounting for 40.1% of 30,961 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline30.9%
Late aircraft40.1%
National airspace12.8%
Weather15.9%
Security0.3%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.