BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
PHXFAT

Phoenix, AZ (PHX) to Fresno, CA (FAT) flight delay odds

Historically, 78.7% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 1,452 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
78.7%arrived on time
14.7%30+ min late
0.6%cancelled
1,452scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late7.4%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.5%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+9.9 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning25591.0%4.7%0.4%
Late morning35482.5%11.6%0.3%
Afternoon30779.5%14.0%0.7%
Evening42771.4%22.0%0.5%
Night10964.2%21.1%1.8%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday21777.0%17.5%0.9%
Tuesday18688.2%5.9%0.0%
Wednesday18883.5%10.6%0.5%
Thursday22376.2%16.1%0.0%
Friday21575.8%15.8%0.5%
Saturday19978.4%16.1%0.5%
Sunday22474.1%18.8%1.3%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
American Airlines80279.3%13.0%0.9%
SkyWest Airlines54575.4%19.4%0.2%
Envoy Air10591.4%2.9%0.0%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20259369.9%21.5%1.1%
August 202510084.0%12.0%0.0%
September 20259478.7%16.0%1.1%
October 202512976.7%17.8%0.0%
November 202513281.1%15.2%0.8%
December 202513977.0%17.3%0.0%
January 202614072.9%12.9%2.9%
February 202612180.2%14.0%0.0%
March 202614979.2%15.4%0.7%
April 202612185.1%9.1%0.0%
May 202611985.7%7.6%0.0%
June 202611573.9%18.3%0.0%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline47.3%
Late aircraft44.6%
National airspace6.4%
Weather1.7%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.