BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
PHX→BNA

Phoenix, AZ (PHX) to Nashville, TN (BNA) flight delay odds

73.3% of 2,369 official scheduled PHX-to-BNA flights arrived on time; 14.5% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 0.6% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
73.3%arrived on time
14.5%30+ min late
0.6%cancelled
2,369scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late6.4%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.3%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+9.6 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for PHX to BNA?

Among qualifying PHX-to-BNA departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 87.8% of 698 flights. Afternoon was lowest at 62.3% across 758 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning69887.8%3.7%0.4%
Late morning46575.5%13.1%0.9%
Afternoon75862.3%23.4%0.5%
Evening36764.9%20.2%1.1%
Night8177.8%7.4%0.0%

Which weekday was most reliable for PHX to BNA?

Among qualifying PHX-to-BNA weekday results, Saturday had the highest on-time rate: 80.7% of 285 flights. Thursday was lowest at 68.3% across 363 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday36671.0%15.8%0.0%
Tuesday31975.5%13.8%0.3%
Wednesday32375.9%10.2%0.0%
Thursday36368.3%17.9%0.0%
Friday36071.7%15.0%1.1%
Saturday28580.7%11.6%1.4%
Sunday35372.2%16.1%1.7%

Which airline was most reliable for PHX to BNA?

Among qualifying PHX-to-BNA airline results, Southwest Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 74.0% of 1,799 flights. American Airlines was lowest at 70.8% across 566 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines1,79974.0%13.1%0.5%
American Airlines56670.8%19.3%1.1%
Frontier Airlines4100.0%0.0%0.0%

Which month was most reliable for PHX to BNA?

Among qualifying PHX-to-BNA month results, August 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 85.8% of 176 flights. May 2026 was lowest at 61.6% across 211 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202519471.6%15.5%0.5%
August 202517685.8%8.5%0.0%
September 202517084.7%9.4%1.2%
October 202523276.3%12.5%0.0%
November 202518477.7%13.0%0.0%
December 202519374.6%15.0%0.0%
January 202618273.1%12.1%6.0%
February 202617974.3%11.2%0.0%
March 202623170.6%14.7%0.4%
April 202621972.1%16.9%0.0%
May 202621161.6%22.3%0.0%
June 202619861.6%20.7%0.0%

What drove PHX to BNA delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded PHX-to-BNA delay category, accounting for 51.1% of 30,959 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline33.5%
Late aircraft51.1%
National airspace15.2%
Weather0.0%
Security0.2%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.