BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
BNA→PHX

Nashville, TN (BNA) to Phoenix, AZ (PHX) flight delay odds

77.6% of 2,370 official scheduled BNA-to-PHX flights arrived on time; 12.7% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.0% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
77.6%arrived on time
12.7%30+ min late
1.0%cancelled
2,370scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late5.8%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.1%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+6.9 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for BNA to PHX?

Among qualifying BNA-to-PHX departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 90.3% of 935 flights. Night was lowest at 61.6% across 138 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning93590.3%3.4%1.2%
Late morning14983.9%6.7%0.0%
Afternoon56172.7%15.2%0.9%
Evening58764.2%23.0%0.9%
Night13861.6%28.3%1.4%

Which weekday was most reliable for BNA to PHX?

Among qualifying BNA-to-PHX weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 80.6% of 319 flights. Sunday was lowest at 71.8% across 354 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday36376.9%12.7%1.4%
Tuesday31980.6%12.9%0.6%
Wednesday32380.5%9.6%0.0%
Thursday36175.9%13.3%0.3%
Friday36280.4%10.5%0.0%
Saturday28877.8%15.3%1.7%
Sunday35471.8%15.0%2.8%

Which airline was most reliable for BNA to PHX?

Among qualifying BNA-to-PHX airline results, American Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 78.3% of 566 flights. Southwest Airlines was lowest at 77.3% across 1,800 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines1,80077.3%12.9%0.9%
American Airlines56678.3%12.0%1.1%
Frontier Airlines4100.0%0.0%0.0%

Which month was most reliable for BNA to PHX?

Among qualifying BNA-to-PHX month results, August 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 86.9% of 176 flights. June 2026 was lowest at 66.3% across 202 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202519472.2%19.6%0.5%
August 202517686.9%6.2%0.0%
September 202517083.5%6.5%0.6%
October 202523276.3%13.4%0.0%
November 202518578.4%14.6%0.0%
December 202518883.5%10.6%0.0%
January 202618278.6%4.4%7.7%
February 202618178.5%8.8%0.6%
March 202623083.0%12.2%1.7%
April 202621973.1%15.1%0.5%
May 202621173.5%17.1%0.0%
June 202620266.3%20.8%0.5%

What drove BNA to PHX delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded BNA-to-PHX delay category, accounting for 53.8% of 32,865 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline36.1%
Late aircraft53.8%
National airspace8.6%
Weather1.2%
Security0.3%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.