BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
ORF→DCA

Norfolk, VA (ORF) to Washington, DC (DCA) flight delay odds

64.8% of 1,041 official scheduled ORF-to-DCA flights arrived on time; 23.9% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 3.6% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
64.8%arrived on time
23.9%30+ min late
3.6%cancelled
1,041scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late15.2%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late6.6%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.0%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+26.4 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for ORF to DCA?

Among qualifying ORF-to-DCA departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 88.4% of 361 flights. Afternoon was lowest at 41.0% across 188 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning36188.4%6.1%2.5%
Late morning34362.4%26.8%2.0%
Afternoon18841.0%44.1%2.7%
Evening14943.6%34.9%10.7%

Which weekday was most reliable for ORF to DCA?

Among qualifying ORF-to-DCA weekday results, Saturday had the highest on-time rate: 76.3% of 139 flights. Friday was lowest at 57.0% across 149 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday15064.0%23.3%3.3%
Tuesday15563.2%28.4%1.9%
Wednesday15163.6%20.5%4.0%
Thursday14866.9%23.6%1.4%
Friday14957.0%32.9%2.7%
Saturday13976.3%15.1%5.8%
Sunday14963.8%22.8%6.0%

Which airline was most reliable for ORF to DCA?

Only PSA Airlines met the ORF-to-DCA airline threshold: 65.3% of 1,013 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
PSA Airlines1,01365.3%23.9%3.4%
Republic Airways2445.8%25.0%12.5%
Envoy Air475.0%25.0%0.0%

Which month was most reliable for ORF to DCA?

Among qualifying ORF-to-DCA month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 79.8% of 89 flights. February 2026 was lowest at 53.6% across 84 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20258859.1%22.7%10.2%
August 20259272.8%12.0%3.3%
September 20258979.8%15.7%0.0%
October 20259360.2%29.0%0.0%
November 20258856.8%30.7%2.3%
December 20256563.1%24.6%3.1%
January 20268359.0%26.5%7.2%
February 20268453.6%36.9%2.4%
March 20269362.4%22.6%5.4%
April 20268971.9%22.5%0.0%
May 20269171.4%24.2%1.1%
June 20268666.3%20.9%8.1%

What drove ORF to DCA delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded ORF-to-DCA delay category, accounting for 40.3% of 33,105 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline21.3%
Late aircraft40.3%
National airspace24.0%
Weather14.3%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.