BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
ORFDCA

Norfolk, VA (ORF) to Washington, DC (DCA) flight delay odds

Historically, 64.8% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 1,041 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
64.8%arrived on time
23.9%30+ min late
3.6%cancelled
1,041scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late15.2%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late6.6%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.0%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+26.4 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning36188.4%6.1%2.5%
Late morning34362.4%26.8%2.0%
Afternoon18841.0%44.1%2.7%
Evening14943.6%34.9%10.7%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday15064.0%23.3%3.3%
Tuesday15563.2%28.4%1.9%
Wednesday15163.6%20.5%4.0%
Thursday14866.9%23.6%1.4%
Friday14957.0%32.9%2.7%
Saturday13976.3%15.1%5.8%
Sunday14963.8%22.8%6.0%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
PSA Airlines1,01365.3%23.9%3.4%
Republic Airways2445.8%25.0%12.5%
Envoy Air475.0%25.0%0.0%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20258859.1%22.7%10.2%
August 20259272.8%12.0%3.3%
September 20258979.8%15.7%0.0%
October 20259360.2%29.0%0.0%
November 20258856.8%30.7%2.3%
December 20256563.1%24.6%3.1%
January 20268359.0%26.5%7.2%
February 20268453.6%36.9%2.4%
March 20269362.4%22.6%5.4%
April 20268971.9%22.5%0.0%
May 20269171.4%24.2%1.1%
June 20268666.3%20.9%8.1%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline21.3%
Late aircraft40.3%
National airspace24.0%
Weather14.3%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.