BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
DCAORF

Washington, DC (DCA) to Norfolk, VA (ORF) flight delay odds

Historically, 60.9% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 1,042 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALHigher disruption
60.9%arrived on time
22.8%30+ min late
4.6%cancelled
1,042scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late14.4%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late6.5%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.0%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+21.1 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning19869.2%15.7%2.5%
Late morning14665.8%17.8%4.1%
Afternoon23062.6%25.7%2.2%
Evening19960.3%23.1%5.0%
Night26951.3%28.3%8.2%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday15060.7%18.0%5.3%
Tuesday15558.7%27.7%3.2%
Wednesday15262.5%25.7%3.3%
Thursday14859.5%27.0%2.7%
Friday14951.0%25.5%5.4%
Saturday13975.5%10.8%5.0%
Sunday14959.7%24.2%7.4%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
PSA Airlines1,01460.4%23.2%4.6%
Republic Airways2479.2%12.5%4.2%
Envoy Air4100.0%0.0%0.0%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20258850.0%30.7%11.4%
August 20259266.3%17.4%2.2%
September 20259071.1%13.3%3.3%
October 20259362.4%20.4%0.0%
November 20258860.2%23.9%3.4%
December 20256547.7%33.8%3.1%
January 20268349.4%30.1%8.4%
February 20268465.5%22.6%3.6%
March 20269360.2%24.7%9.7%
April 20268967.4%19.1%1.1%
May 20269169.2%20.9%0.0%
June 20268657.0%20.9%9.3%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline22.6%
Late aircraft56.8%
National airspace11.1%
Weather9.5%
Security0.1%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.