BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MSYPHX

New Orleans, LA (MSY) to Phoenix, AZ (PHX) flight delay odds

Historically, 77.2% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 936 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
77.2%arrived on time
14.6%30+ min late
0.4%cancelled
936scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late6.2%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.3%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.3%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+9.3 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning31290.7%5.4%0.0%
Afternoon25174.9%15.1%0.8%
Evening36266.9%22.4%0.6%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday14376.9%15.4%0.7%
Tuesday13083.8%10.8%0.0%
Wednesday13483.6%11.2%0.0%
Thursday14073.6%18.6%0.0%
Friday14080.7%12.1%0.0%
Saturday10978.9%12.8%0.9%
Sunday14064.3%20.7%1.4%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines55077.8%12.9%0.2%
American Airlines37876.5%17.2%0.8%
Frontier Airlines475.0%25.0%0.0%
Envoy Air475.0%0.0%0.0%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20256162.3%27.9%0.0%
August 20253694.4%0.0%0.0%
September 20253177.4%6.5%0.0%
October 20258274.4%15.9%0.0%
November 20258177.8%18.5%0.0%
December 20258970.8%20.2%0.0%
January 20267379.5%9.6%4.1%
February 20268887.5%6.8%0.0%
March 202611678.4%15.5%0.9%
April 202611283.0%12.5%0.0%
May 202610474.0%13.5%0.0%
June 20266369.8%20.6%0.0%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline34.4%
Late aircraft53.7%
National airspace8.7%
Weather2.9%
Security0.2%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.