BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MSP→EWR

Minneapolis, MN (MSP) to Newark, NJ (EWR) flight delay odds

73.6% of 2,208 official scheduled MSP-to-EWR flights arrived on time; 15.9% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 4.1% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALHigher disruption
73.6%arrived on time
15.9%30+ min late
4.1%cancelled
2,208scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late9.8%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.8%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.4%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+8.6 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MSP to EWR?

Among qualifying MSP-to-EWR departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 85.5% of 643 flights. Evening was lowest at 64.5% across 662 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning64385.5%7.8%3.0%
Late morning34875.3%14.4%4.0%
Afternoon55569.5%17.1%4.3%
Evening66264.5%23.4%5.0%

Which weekday was most reliable for MSP to EWR?

Among qualifying MSP-to-EWR weekday results, Wednesday had the highest on-time rate: 78.4% of 324 flights. Sunday was lowest at 65.5% across 316 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday32573.8%13.5%5.8%
Tuesday33276.5%12.3%3.3%
Wednesday32478.4%14.2%1.5%
Thursday32273.3%19.3%1.9%
Friday32475.6%14.8%2.8%
Saturday26571.3%18.5%2.6%
Sunday31665.5%19.0%10.4%

Which airline was most reliable for MSP to EWR?

Among qualifying MSP-to-EWR airline results, Republic Airways had the highest on-time rate: 78.7% of 474 flights. Delta Air Lines was lowest at 72.1% across 1,260 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines1,26072.1%16.3%4.0%
Republic Airways47478.7%9.5%6.3%
United Airlines46572.3%21.3%2.2%
SkyWest Airlines977.8%11.1%0.0%

Which month was most reliable for MSP to EWR?

Among qualifying MSP-to-EWR month results, May 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 92.6% of 202 flights. December 2025 was lowest at 52.7% across 169 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202518456.0%29.9%6.5%
August 202519871.2%21.7%0.5%
September 202520378.3%13.8%0.0%
October 202520272.8%16.3%1.5%
November 202516762.3%24.6%7.8%
December 202516952.7%28.4%8.3%
January 202617076.5%10.0%8.2%
February 202615775.2%10.8%8.3%
March 202618072.8%15.6%5.6%
April 202617689.8%4.5%1.1%
May 202620292.6%4.0%1.5%
June 202620079.0%12.0%2.5%

What drove MSP to EWR delay minutes?

National airspace was the largest recorded MSP-to-EWR delay category, accounting for 47.1% of 40,647 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline32.3%
Late aircraft14.6%
National airspace47.1%
Weather6.1%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.