BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MSPEWR

Minneapolis, MN (MSP) to Newark, NJ (EWR) flight delay odds

Historically, 73.6% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 2,208 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALHigher disruption
73.6%arrived on time
15.9%30+ min late
4.1%cancelled
2,208scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late9.8%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.8%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.4%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+8.6 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning64385.5%7.8%3.0%
Late morning34875.3%14.4%4.0%
Afternoon55569.5%17.1%4.3%
Evening66264.5%23.4%5.0%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday32573.8%13.5%5.8%
Tuesday33276.5%12.3%3.3%
Wednesday32478.4%14.2%1.5%
Thursday32273.3%19.3%1.9%
Friday32475.6%14.8%2.8%
Saturday26571.3%18.5%2.6%
Sunday31665.5%19.0%10.4%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines1,26072.1%16.3%4.0%
Republic Airways47478.7%9.5%6.3%
United Airlines46572.3%21.3%2.2%
SkyWest Airlines977.8%11.1%0.0%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202518456.0%29.9%6.5%
August 202519871.2%21.7%0.5%
September 202520378.3%13.8%0.0%
October 202520272.8%16.3%1.5%
November 202516762.3%24.6%7.8%
December 202516952.7%28.4%8.3%
January 202617076.5%10.0%8.2%
February 202615775.2%10.8%8.3%
March 202618072.8%15.6%5.6%
April 202617689.8%4.5%1.1%
May 202620292.6%4.0%1.5%
June 202620079.0%12.0%2.5%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline32.3%
Late aircraft14.6%
National airspace47.1%
Weather6.1%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.