BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
EWR→MSP

Newark, NJ (EWR) to Minneapolis, MN (MSP) flight delay odds

75.4% of 2,208 official scheduled EWR-to-MSP flights arrived on time; 15.1% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 3.9% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
75.4%arrived on time
15.1%30+ min late
3.9%cancelled
2,208scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late9.2%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late5.0%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+10.4 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for EWR to MSP?

Among qualifying EWR-to-MSP departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 83.3% of 497 flights. Evening was lowest at 62.6% across 409 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning49783.3%9.9%4.2%
Late morning39680.6%9.3%4.8%
Afternoon68775.5%15.6%2.9%
Evening40962.6%24.4%3.9%
Night21971.7%18.7%4.6%

Which weekday was most reliable for EWR to MSP?

Among qualifying EWR-to-MSP weekday results, Friday had the highest on-time rate: 81.5% of 324 flights. Sunday was lowest at 68.4% across 316 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday32571.7%15.7%7.1%
Tuesday33376.6%14.7%3.6%
Wednesday32279.8%14.0%1.9%
Thursday32375.2%15.2%1.9%
Friday32481.5%11.7%2.2%
Saturday26574.3%16.6%3.0%
Sunday31668.4%18.4%7.6%

Which airline was most reliable for EWR to MSP?

Among qualifying EWR-to-MSP airline results, Republic Airways had the highest on-time rate: 80.8% of 474 flights. United Airlines was lowest at 72.0% across 465 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines1,26074.7%16.3%4.0%
Republic Airways47480.8%7.6%6.3%
United Airlines46572.0%19.6%1.1%
SkyWest Airlines966.7%11.1%0.0%

Which month was most reliable for EWR to MSP?

Among qualifying EWR-to-MSP month results, April 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 88.6% of 176 flights. July 2025 was lowest at 60.3% across 184 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202518460.3%31.0%4.9%
August 202519878.8%16.2%0.5%
September 202520380.8%14.3%0.0%
October 202520268.8%18.3%1.5%
November 202516765.9%22.2%6.6%
December 202516963.9%23.1%7.7%
January 202617181.3%5.3%8.2%
February 202615780.3%7.0%8.9%
March 202618073.3%13.3%6.7%
April 202617688.6%5.1%1.1%
May 202620187.6%7.5%1.0%
June 202620074.0%17.5%2.5%

What drove EWR to MSP delay minutes?

Airline was the largest recorded EWR-to-MSP delay category, accounting for 40.0% of 45,493 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline40.0%
Late aircraft39.5%
National airspace16.7%
Weather3.9%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.