BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MSPDCA

Minneapolis, MN (MSP) to Washington, DC (DCA) flight delay odds

Historically, 71.4% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 2,574 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
71.4%arrived on time
16.9%30+ min late
3.2%cancelled
2,574scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late8.9%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.4%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.7%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+11.9 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning59679.0%9.7%3.4%
Late morning47781.1%11.1%1.9%
Afternoon56472.2%16.3%3.4%
Evening93761.0%24.8%3.7%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday40375.2%13.4%3.5%
Tuesday36879.1%11.7%1.6%
Wednesday39969.9%18.0%1.8%
Thursday39465.5%24.4%1.3%
Friday39769.0%20.2%2.8%
Saturday24877.4%12.5%3.2%
Sunday36565.8%16.2%8.8%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines1,69573.6%16.3%2.1%
PSA Airlines48367.9%18.2%5.6%
Republic Airways21569.8%14.4%5.6%
Envoy Air14062.9%19.3%4.3%
American Airlines4158.5%29.3%4.9%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202520355.7%25.1%7.4%
August 202520370.9%17.7%2.0%
September 202521682.4%9.7%0.0%
October 202522479.0%12.1%0.9%
November 202520772.0%19.8%1.9%
December 202521364.3%21.1%1.4%
January 202622364.6%20.6%7.2%
February 202620069.5%13.5%5.0%
March 202622166.5%19.5%5.9%
April 202621680.1%13.9%0.5%
May 202622482.1%11.2%1.3%
June 202622467.9%19.2%5.4%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline33.1%
Late aircraft28.9%
National airspace28.1%
Weather9.8%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.