BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MSP→DCA

Minneapolis, MN (MSP) to Washington, DC (DCA) flight delay odds

71.4% of 2,574 official scheduled MSP-to-DCA flights arrived on time; 16.9% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 3.2% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
71.4%arrived on time
16.9%30+ min late
3.2%cancelled
2,574scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late8.9%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.4%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.7%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+11.9 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MSP to DCA?

Among qualifying MSP-to-DCA departure window results, Late morning had the highest on-time rate: 81.1% of 477 flights. Evening was lowest at 61.0% across 937 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning59679.0%9.7%3.4%
Late morning47781.1%11.1%1.9%
Afternoon56472.2%16.3%3.4%
Evening93761.0%24.8%3.7%

Which weekday was most reliable for MSP to DCA?

Among qualifying MSP-to-DCA weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 79.1% of 368 flights. Thursday was lowest at 65.5% across 394 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday40375.2%13.4%3.5%
Tuesday36879.1%11.7%1.6%
Wednesday39969.9%18.0%1.8%
Thursday39465.5%24.4%1.3%
Friday39769.0%20.2%2.8%
Saturday24877.4%12.5%3.2%
Sunday36565.8%16.2%8.8%

Which airline was most reliable for MSP to DCA?

Among qualifying MSP-to-DCA airline results, Delta Air Lines had the highest on-time rate: 73.6% of 1,695 flights. American Airlines was lowest at 58.5% across 41 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines1,69573.6%16.3%2.1%
PSA Airlines48367.9%18.2%5.6%
Republic Airways21569.8%14.4%5.6%
Envoy Air14062.9%19.3%4.3%
American Airlines4158.5%29.3%4.9%

Which month was most reliable for MSP to DCA?

Among qualifying MSP-to-DCA month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 82.4% of 216 flights. July 2025 was lowest at 55.7% across 203 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202520355.7%25.1%7.4%
August 202520370.9%17.7%2.0%
September 202521682.4%9.7%0.0%
October 202522479.0%12.1%0.9%
November 202520772.0%19.8%1.9%
December 202521364.3%21.1%1.4%
January 202622364.6%20.6%7.2%
February 202620069.5%13.5%5.0%
March 202622166.5%19.5%5.9%
April 202621680.1%13.9%0.5%
May 202622482.1%11.2%1.3%
June 202622467.9%19.2%5.4%

What drove MSP to DCA delay minutes?

Airline was the largest recorded MSP-to-DCA delay category, accounting for 33.1% of 51,632 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline33.1%
Late aircraft28.9%
National airspace28.1%
Weather9.8%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.