BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
DCAMSP

Washington, DC (DCA) to Minneapolis, MN (MSP) flight delay odds

Historically, 75.0% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 2,574 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
75.0%arrived on time
15.5%30+ min late
2.8%cancelled
2,574scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late8.9%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late4.3%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+11.5 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning68483.5%9.8%2.2%
Late morning28475.0%13.0%2.8%
Afternoon1,00572.4%17.3%2.5%
Evening54168.0%21.6%4.1%
Night6083.3%8.3%3.3%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday40378.7%11.2%3.7%
Tuesday41278.9%14.3%1.5%
Wednesday35475.1%18.4%0.6%
Thursday39570.9%19.7%1.8%
Friday39872.9%16.3%2.5%
Saturday29578.0%13.6%3.1%
Sunday31770.0%15.1%7.3%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines1,69578.1%14.6%2.1%
PSA Airlines48366.0%20.1%4.3%
Republic Airways21472.0%14.5%5.1%
Envoy Air14173.8%11.3%2.8%
American Airlines4170.7%19.5%2.4%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202520369.5%20.7%4.9%
August 202520375.4%17.2%2.0%
September 202521887.2%6.9%0.0%
October 202522486.6%7.6%0.4%
November 202520783.1%11.1%1.4%
December 202521266.0%21.7%2.4%
January 202622366.8%20.2%6.7%
February 202620072.0%16.5%4.0%
March 202622165.6%18.6%5.0%
April 202621582.3%13.0%0.0%
May 202622478.6%14.3%1.3%
June 202622466.5%19.2%5.4%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline38.0%
Late aircraft39.7%
National airspace16.4%
Weather5.7%
Security0.2%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.