BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
DCA→MSP

Washington, DC (DCA) to Minneapolis, MN (MSP) flight delay odds

75.0% of 2,574 official scheduled DCA-to-MSP flights arrived on time; 15.5% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 2.8% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
75.0%arrived on time
15.5%30+ min late
2.8%cancelled
2,574scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late8.9%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late4.3%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+11.5 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for DCA to MSP?

Among qualifying DCA-to-MSP departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 83.5% of 684 flights. Evening was lowest at 68.0% across 541 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning68483.5%9.8%2.2%
Late morning28475.0%13.0%2.8%
Afternoon1,00572.4%17.3%2.5%
Evening54168.0%21.6%4.1%
Night6083.3%8.3%3.3%

Which weekday was most reliable for DCA to MSP?

Among qualifying DCA-to-MSP weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 78.9% of 412 flights. Sunday was lowest at 70.0% across 317 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday40378.7%11.2%3.7%
Tuesday41278.9%14.3%1.5%
Wednesday35475.1%18.4%0.6%
Thursday39570.9%19.7%1.8%
Friday39872.9%16.3%2.5%
Saturday29578.0%13.6%3.1%
Sunday31770.0%15.1%7.3%

Which airline was most reliable for DCA to MSP?

Among qualifying DCA-to-MSP airline results, Delta Air Lines had the highest on-time rate: 78.1% of 1,695 flights. PSA Airlines was lowest at 66.0% across 483 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines1,69578.1%14.6%2.1%
PSA Airlines48366.0%20.1%4.3%
Republic Airways21472.0%14.5%5.1%
Envoy Air14173.8%11.3%2.8%
American Airlines4170.7%19.5%2.4%

Which month was most reliable for DCA to MSP?

Among qualifying DCA-to-MSP month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 87.2% of 218 flights. March 2026 was lowest at 65.6% across 221 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202520369.5%20.7%4.9%
August 202520375.4%17.2%2.0%
September 202521887.2%6.9%0.0%
October 202522486.6%7.6%0.4%
November 202520783.1%11.1%1.4%
December 202521266.0%21.7%2.4%
January 202622366.8%20.2%6.7%
February 202620072.0%16.5%4.0%
March 202622165.6%18.6%5.0%
April 202621582.3%13.0%0.0%
May 202622478.6%14.3%1.3%
June 202622466.5%19.2%5.4%

What drove DCA to MSP delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded DCA-to-MSP delay category, accounting for 39.7% of 50,884 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline38.0%
Late aircraft39.7%
National airspace16.4%
Weather5.7%
Security0.2%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.