BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MSP→BNA

Minneapolis, MN (MSP) to Nashville, TN (BNA) flight delay odds

80.1% of 1,723 official scheduled MSP-to-BNA flights arrived on time; 9.6% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.4% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
80.1%arrived on time
9.6%30+ min late
1.4%cancelled
1,723scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late4.3%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late1.3%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.3%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+1.7 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MSP to BNA?

Among qualifying MSP-to-BNA departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 88.8% of 546 flights. Evening was lowest at 73.0% across 419 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning54688.8%4.4%1.8%
Afternoon72377.7%11.1%0.8%
Evening41973.0%13.6%1.9%

Which weekday was most reliable for MSP to BNA?

Among qualifying MSP-to-BNA weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 87.5% of 248 flights. Sunday was lowest at 74.1% across 270 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday25377.1%9.5%0.4%
Tuesday24887.5%5.2%0.8%
Wednesday24187.1%6.6%0.8%
Thursday24979.5%10.0%0.8%
Friday24975.5%12.4%0.4%
Saturday21380.8%8.9%2.8%
Sunday27074.1%13.7%3.7%

Which airline was most reliable for MSP to BNA?

Among qualifying MSP-to-BNA airline results, Delta Air Lines had the highest on-time rate: 81.1% of 1,213 flights. Southwest Airlines was lowest at 77.8% across 509 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines1,21381.1%9.0%1.5%
Southwest Airlines50977.8%10.8%1.2%
SkyWest Airlines10.0%100.0%0.0%

Which month was most reliable for MSP to BNA?

Among qualifying MSP-to-BNA month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 90.8% of 141 flights. December 2025 was lowest at 67.2% across 122 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202515476.0%13.0%0.0%
August 202514988.6%5.4%0.0%
September 202514190.8%3.5%0.0%
October 202515484.4%6.5%0.0%
November 202513781.8%7.3%1.5%
December 202512267.2%14.8%4.1%
January 202611377.9%11.5%4.4%
February 202610187.1%5.9%1.0%
March 202614971.1%11.4%3.4%
April 202616082.5%10.0%1.9%
May 202617180.7%9.9%1.2%
June 202617273.8%14.5%0.6%

What drove MSP to BNA delay minutes?

Airline was the largest recorded MSP-to-BNA delay category, accounting for 36.3% of 15,879 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline36.3%
Late aircraft30.2%
National airspace30.3%
Weather2.8%
Security0.4%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.