BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MSPBNA

Minneapolis, MN (MSP) to Nashville, TN (BNA) flight delay odds

Historically, 80.1% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 1,723 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
80.1%arrived on time
9.6%30+ min late
1.4%cancelled
1,723scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late4.3%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late1.3%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.3%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+1.7 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning54688.8%4.4%1.8%
Afternoon72377.7%11.1%0.8%
Evening41973.0%13.6%1.9%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday25377.1%9.5%0.4%
Tuesday24887.5%5.2%0.8%
Wednesday24187.1%6.6%0.8%
Thursday24979.5%10.0%0.8%
Friday24975.5%12.4%0.4%
Saturday21380.8%8.9%2.8%
Sunday27074.1%13.7%3.7%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines1,21381.1%9.0%1.5%
Southwest Airlines50977.8%10.8%1.2%
SkyWest Airlines10.0%100.0%0.0%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202515476.0%13.0%0.0%
August 202514988.6%5.4%0.0%
September 202514190.8%3.5%0.0%
October 202515484.4%6.5%0.0%
November 202513781.8%7.3%1.5%
December 202512267.2%14.8%4.1%
January 202611377.9%11.5%4.4%
February 202610187.1%5.9%1.0%
March 202614971.1%11.4%3.4%
April 202616082.5%10.0%1.9%
May 202617180.7%9.9%1.2%
June 202617273.8%14.5%0.6%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline36.3%
Late aircraft30.2%
National airspace30.3%
Weather2.8%
Security0.4%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.