BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
BNA→MSP

Nashville, TN (BNA) to Minneapolis, MN (MSP) flight delay odds

82.0% of 1,721 official scheduled BNA-to-MSP flights arrived on time; 9.5% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.4% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
82.0%arrived on time
9.5%30+ min late
1.4%cancelled
1,721scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late4.2%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late1.7%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+0.6 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for BNA to MSP?

Among qualifying BNA-to-MSP departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 91.6% of 455 flights. Night was lowest at 56.0% across 109 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning45591.6%4.2%1.8%
Late morning35686.0%6.2%2.0%
Afternoon46879.5%9.8%0.6%
Evening33376.9%13.8%1.2%
Night10956.0%27.5%1.8%

Which weekday was most reliable for BNA to MSP?

Among qualifying BNA-to-MSP weekday results, Thursday had the highest on-time rate: 86.3% of 249 flights. Sunday was lowest at 75.8% across 269 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday25378.7%12.6%1.6%
Tuesday24885.1%6.5%0.4%
Wednesday24186.3%6.2%0.4%
Thursday24986.3%6.8%0.8%
Friday24979.9%13.3%0.4%
Saturday21283.0%8.5%2.8%
Sunday26975.8%11.9%3.3%

Which airline was most reliable for BNA to MSP?

Among qualifying BNA-to-MSP airline results, Delta Air Lines had the highest on-time rate: 85.5% of 1,213 flights. Southwest Airlines was lowest at 73.8% across 508 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines1,21385.5%7.8%1.6%
Southwest Airlines50873.8%13.4%1.0%

Which month was most reliable for BNA to MSP?

Among qualifying BNA-to-MSP month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 90.8% of 141 flights. December 2025 was lowest at 67.2% across 122 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202515483.8%11.7%0.0%
August 202514989.3%8.7%0.0%
September 202514190.8%2.1%0.0%
October 202515489.6%5.2%0.0%
November 202513686.0%7.4%1.5%
December 202512267.2%13.9%4.1%
January 202611384.1%6.2%4.4%
February 202610179.2%10.9%1.0%
March 202614981.9%9.4%4.7%
April 202616086.2%8.1%0.6%
May 202617175.4%14.0%1.2%
June 202617170.8%14.6%0.6%

What drove BNA to MSP delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded BNA-to-MSP delay category, accounting for 49.8% of 15,724 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline32.3%
Late aircraft49.8%
National airspace17.2%
Weather0.7%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.