BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
JFKPHX

New York, NY (JFK) to Phoenix, AZ (PHX) flight delay odds

Historically, 75.7% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 2,972 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
75.7%arrived on time
14.5%30+ min late
2.7%cancelled
2,972scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late7.7%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.1%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+4.5 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning94582.3%8.5%3.1%
Late morning17472.4%18.4%2.3%
Afternoon67176.8%13.6%3.0%
Evening1,13870.8%19.2%2.2%
Night4456.8%22.7%2.3%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday44775.6%13.4%4.5%
Tuesday41577.3%12.3%3.6%
Wednesday40174.3%18.0%1.7%
Thursday43575.9%15.6%0.7%
Friday44177.3%14.3%1.8%
Saturday38879.9%12.4%1.3%
Sunday44570.1%15.7%4.7%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
American Airlines1,52480.1%12.1%2.2%
Delta Air Lines91771.3%16.5%3.3%
JetBlue Airways53170.8%18.1%2.8%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202520370.4%20.2%3.0%
August 202520384.2%8.9%1.5%
September 202519778.2%14.2%0.5%
October 202523573.6%17.0%1.7%
November 202524775.3%18.2%1.6%
December 202527060.7%24.4%4.4%
January 202627673.6%10.9%6.9%
February 202624873.8%12.5%7.7%
March 202628979.9%12.5%2.1%
April 202627885.6%10.4%0.0%
May 202626979.6%10.4%1.5%
June 202625773.9%15.6%0.4%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline32.5%
Late aircraft36.9%
National airspace25.9%
Weather4.6%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.