BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
DCA→MSN

Washington, DC (DCA) to Madison, WI (MSN) flight delay odds

68.1% of 1,191 official scheduled DCA-to-MSN flights arrived on time; 18.6% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 5.1% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALHigher disruption
68.1%arrived on time
18.6%30+ min late
5.1%cancelled
1,191scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late11.7%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late6.2%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.3%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+15.4 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for DCA to MSN?

Among qualifying DCA-to-MSN departure window results, Late morning had the highest on-time rate: 75.2% of 149 flights. Night was lowest at 45.9% across 74 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning12971.3%14.7%6.2%
Late morning14975.2%15.4%0.7%
Afternoon58572.1%16.4%3.2%
Evening25459.4%24.4%7.9%
Night7445.9%28.4%17.6%

Which weekday was most reliable for DCA to MSN?

Among qualifying DCA-to-MSN weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 72.0% of 193 flights. Wednesday was lowest at 63.6% across 187 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday18771.1%14.4%6.4%
Tuesday19372.0%19.2%3.6%
Wednesday18763.6%21.9%4.8%
Thursday18368.3%19.7%3.8%
Friday18366.7%19.7%3.8%
Saturday7766.2%16.9%9.1%
Sunday18167.4%17.1%6.6%

Which airline was most reliable for DCA to MSN?

Among qualifying DCA-to-MSN airline results, Republic Airways had the highest on-time rate: 74.7% of 384 flights. PSA Airlines was lowest at 65.0% across 783 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
PSA Airlines78365.0%20.3%5.5%
Republic Airways38474.7%14.8%4.4%
Envoy Air1963.2%21.1%5.3%
American Airlines560.0%20.0%0.0%

Which month was most reliable for DCA to MSN?

Among qualifying DCA-to-MSN month results, October 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 83.2% of 107 flights. March 2026 was lowest at 53.9% across 115 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20258868.2%12.5%14.8%
August 20258879.5%12.5%2.3%
September 20258278.0%13.4%1.2%
October 202510783.2%10.3%0.0%
November 202510271.6%12.7%4.9%
December 20258161.7%22.2%2.5%
January 20269959.6%24.2%13.1%
February 202610359.2%27.2%4.9%
March 202611553.9%27.0%7.0%
April 202610976.1%16.5%0.0%
May 202610968.8%22.0%0.9%
June 202610860.2%19.4%10.2%

What drove DCA to MSN delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded DCA-to-MSN delay category, accounting for 55.0% of 25,882 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline26.2%
Late aircraft55.0%
National airspace13.4%
Weather5.3%
Security0.1%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.