BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
BNA→DCA

Nashville, TN (BNA) to Washington, DC (DCA) flight delay odds

70.6% of 4,330 official scheduled BNA-to-DCA flights arrived on time; 16.6% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 3.2% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
70.6%arrived on time
16.6%30+ min late
3.2%cancelled
4,330scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late8.5%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.1%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.4%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+10.3 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for BNA to DCA?

Among qualifying BNA-to-DCA departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 81.4% of 1,051 flights. Evening was lowest at 59.7% across 1,223 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning1,05181.4%7.5%2.5%
Late morning82378.7%10.4%1.2%
Afternoon1,15667.0%18.3%3.8%
Evening1,22359.7%26.3%4.9%
Night7766.2%24.7%0.0%

Which weekday was most reliable for BNA to DCA?

Among qualifying BNA-to-DCA weekday results, Saturday had the highest on-time rate: 82.9% of 445 flights. Friday was lowest at 65.9% across 643 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday65668.1%16.2%5.0%
Tuesday66872.2%14.2%3.0%
Wednesday65174.7%14.6%2.8%
Thursday64168.2%20.1%1.6%
Friday64365.9%20.4%2.6%
Saturday44582.9%9.0%3.4%
Sunday62666.1%19.5%4.3%

Which airline was most reliable for BNA to DCA?

Among qualifying BNA-to-DCA airline results, American Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 74.1% of 313 flights. PSA Airlines was lowest at 58.4% across 387 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Republic Airways1,86172.4%15.5%2.9%
Southwest Airlines1,65370.9%16.3%1.5%
PSA Airlines38758.4%24.3%10.1%
American Airlines31374.1%15.0%5.4%
Envoy Air11669.8%17.2%5.2%

Which month was most reliable for BNA to DCA?

Among qualifying BNA-to-DCA month results, August 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 81.7% of 345 flights. March 2026 was lowest at 58.4% across 382 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202534560.0%19.4%12.5%
August 202534581.7%9.9%1.7%
September 202533879.0%11.2%0.6%
October 202538879.1%11.3%0.3%
November 202536068.9%19.2%1.9%
December 202534469.8%19.5%0.3%
January 202636969.6%14.6%10.0%
February 202634466.6%17.2%3.2%
March 202638258.4%24.3%3.9%
April 202637178.2%13.5%0.3%
May 202637872.0%16.4%0.8%
June 202636664.8%22.1%3.6%

What drove BNA to DCA delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded BNA-to-DCA delay category, accounting for 41.8% of 71,292 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline21.8%
Late aircraft41.8%
National airspace34.3%
Weather1.9%
Security0.1%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.