BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
BDLDCA

Hartford, CT (BDL) to Washington, DC (DCA) flight delay odds

Historically, 64.7% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 1,736 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALHigher disruption
64.7%arrived on time
20.3%30+ min late
6.0%cancelled
1,736scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late11.9%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late5.3%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+17.4 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning43084.4%7.4%4.4%
Late morning28475.4%11.6%4.2%
Afternoon38962.0%23.9%5.4%
Evening63348.2%30.8%8.4%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday26663.2%21.4%7.9%
Tuesday26569.1%17.0%7.2%
Wednesday26465.9%18.9%5.7%
Thursday26161.7%24.5%3.8%
Friday26162.8%21.5%5.7%
Saturday18076.1%11.7%5.0%
Sunday23956.9%25.1%6.7%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
PSA Airlines95865.6%19.7%6.6%
Republic Airways41567.5%18.6%3.4%
American Airlines32461.4%24.1%5.9%
Envoy Air3941.0%23.1%23.1%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202517258.1%18.6%16.3%
August 202517062.4%20.0%2.9%
September 202512064.2%24.2%2.5%
October 202514073.6%17.1%0.7%
November 202513661.0%25.0%2.9%
December 202513055.4%27.7%5.4%
January 202614365.0%17.5%11.9%
February 202613357.1%27.1%7.5%
March 202614965.8%20.1%5.4%
April 202613571.1%20.0%0.7%
May 202614975.8%17.4%2.0%
June 202615966.7%12.6%11.3%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline15.2%
Late aircraft53.6%
National airspace25.7%
Weather5.4%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.