BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
TVCORD

Traverse City, MI (TVC) to Chicago, IL (ORD) flight delay odds

Historically, 65.4% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 2,616 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALHigher disruption
65.4%arrived on time
21.4%30+ min late
5.3%cancelled
2,616scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late13.8%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late7.3%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+24.7 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning75579.9%10.7%3.2%
Late morning24480.3%11.1%1.6%
Afternoon91563.3%22.5%4.5%
Evening65848.3%34.2%10.3%
Night4434.1%45.5%4.5%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday39465.5%18.3%9.1%
Tuesday35968.2%18.4%4.7%
Wednesday34567.5%21.4%4.3%
Thursday37563.5%23.2%4.3%
Friday38365.8%23.5%3.9%
Saturday37367.0%19.6%4.0%
Sunday38760.7%25.1%6.5%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
SkyWest Airlines1,11658.8%28.3%5.5%
Republic Airways47878.0%12.1%3.3%
United Airlines45771.6%13.1%3.1%
PSA Airlines37754.6%27.1%11.4%
Envoy Air18879.3%12.2%2.7%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202521552.1%32.6%5.1%
August 202525059.2%22.8%5.6%
September 202521374.6%16.0%0.0%
October 202528665.7%22.7%0.3%
November 202524761.9%21.5%9.7%
December 202522245.5%37.4%7.2%
January 202614156.7%31.2%5.7%
February 202614975.8%17.4%2.7%
March 202615858.2%22.8%16.5%
April 202617869.1%15.2%6.2%
May 202627983.2%9.7%1.4%
June 202627875.5%13.3%7.2%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline30.1%
Late aircraft33.4%
National airspace22.5%
Weather13.9%
Security0.1%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.