BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
ORDTVC

Chicago, IL (ORD) to Traverse City, MI (TVC) flight delay odds

Historically, 63.5% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 2,617 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALHigher disruption
63.5%arrived on time
23.8%30+ min late
4.8%cancelled
2,617scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late14.2%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late6.8%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+26.1 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning7077.1%14.3%4.3%
Late morning59673.2%15.3%3.5%
Afternoon91962.1%24.9%5.3%
Evening65859.1%28.1%4.4%
Night37457.0%28.9%6.4%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday39560.3%22.3%8.6%
Tuesday35969.4%18.7%3.1%
Wednesday34467.2%25.3%4.4%
Thursday37863.5%22.8%3.7%
Friday38463.8%24.7%3.4%
Saturday36666.4%23.0%4.1%
Sunday39155.5%29.7%6.1%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
SkyWest Airlines1,11560.6%26.7%5.3%
Republic Airways47967.6%19.2%4.4%
United Airlines45761.3%26.3%2.4%
PSA Airlines37762.1%23.6%8.2%
Envoy Air18978.8%12.7%2.1%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202521550.2%36.3%4.2%
August 202525165.7%23.5%3.6%
September 202521375.6%17.4%0.5%
October 202528674.1%19.9%0.3%
November 202524758.7%21.5%10.5%
December 202522142.5%43.4%5.0%
January 202614152.5%31.9%5.7%
February 202614965.8%22.8%2.7%
March 202615854.4%23.4%15.8%
April 202617967.0%20.7%5.0%
May 202628076.8%13.2%1.8%
June 202627766.8%19.1%6.5%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline35.8%
Late aircraft34.7%
National airspace11.7%
Weather17.9%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.