BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
TPAMSY

Tampa, FL (TPA) to New Orleans, LA (MSY) flight delay odds

Historically, 78.7% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 1,078 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
78.7%arrived on time
13.1%30+ min late
0.9%cancelled
1,078scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late7.4%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.8%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+5.8 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning29094.5%2.4%0.7%
Late morning12789.8%6.3%0.0%
Afternoon25981.1%8.9%0.8%
Evening30660.8%26.1%1.6%
Night9666.7%24.0%1.0%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday17775.7%14.7%2.8%
Tuesday13482.8%11.2%0.0%
Wednesday13287.1%9.8%0.0%
Thursday17578.3%11.4%0.6%
Friday17575.4%13.7%1.1%
Saturday10281.4%12.7%2.0%
Sunday18374.3%16.4%0.0%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines85381.4%11.3%0.7%
Spirit Airlines22268.0%20.3%1.8%
Frontier Airlines3100.0%0.0%0.0%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20257375.3%17.8%1.4%
August 20256173.8%18.0%1.6%
September 20256385.7%7.9%0.0%
October 202510178.2%8.9%0.0%
November 202511189.2%7.2%0.0%
December 202511478.9%14.9%0.0%
January 20269276.1%12.0%2.2%
February 202610379.6%12.6%1.0%
March 202612277.0%13.9%2.5%
April 202610080.0%15.0%1.0%
May 20268165.4%19.8%1.2%
June 20265782.5%10.5%0.0%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline19.7%
Late aircraft66.1%
National airspace12.5%
Weather1.6%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.