BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MSY→TPA

New Orleans, LA (MSY) to Tampa, FL (TPA) flight delay odds

76.2% of 1,078 official scheduled MSY-to-TPA flights arrived on time; 14.7% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.1% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
76.2%arrived on time
14.7%30+ min late
1.1%cancelled
1,078scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late7.0%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.8%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+8.2 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MSY to TPA?

Among qualifying MSY-to-TPA departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 95.9% of 316 flights. Night was lowest at 59.8% across 87 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning31695.9%2.2%0.0%
Late morning7493.2%1.4%1.4%
Afternoon30563.0%20.3%2.3%
Evening29669.3%23.6%0.7%
Night8759.8%20.7%2.3%

Which weekday was most reliable for MSY to TPA?

Among qualifying MSY-to-TPA weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 85.8% of 134 flights. Sunday was lowest at 65.0% across 183 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday17976.0%12.8%2.8%
Tuesday13485.8%9.0%0.7%
Wednesday13281.1%12.9%0.0%
Thursday17572.6%16.6%0.0%
Friday17578.9%12.6%1.1%
Saturday10079.0%12.0%2.0%
Sunday18365.0%23.5%1.1%

Which airline was most reliable for MSY to TPA?

Among qualifying MSY-to-TPA airline results, Southwest Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 78.2% of 854 flights. Spirit Airlines was lowest at 67.9% across 221 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines85478.2%14.1%0.7%
Spirit Airlines22167.9%17.2%2.7%
Frontier Airlines3100.0%0.0%0.0%

Which month was most reliable for MSY to TPA?

Among qualifying MSY-to-TPA month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 87.3% of 63 flights. May 2026 was lowest at 66.7% across 81 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20257372.6%17.8%1.4%
August 20256182.0%11.5%0.0%
September 20256387.3%6.3%1.6%
October 202510276.5%13.7%1.0%
November 202511179.3%11.7%0.9%
December 202511478.1%14.0%0.0%
January 20269284.8%7.6%2.2%
February 202610378.6%10.7%1.9%
March 202612267.2%18.0%3.3%
April 20269974.7%17.2%0.0%
May 20268166.7%24.7%0.0%
June 20265768.4%24.6%0.0%

What drove MSY to TPA delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded MSY-to-TPA delay category, accounting for 58.0% of 15,111 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline30.4%
Late aircraft58.0%
National airspace8.8%
Weather2.2%
Security0.5%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.