BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
TPA→MSP

Tampa, FL (TPA) to Minneapolis, MN (MSP) flight delay odds

81.7% of 1,179 official scheduled TPA-to-MSP flights arrived on time; 10.3% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 0.8% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
81.7%arrived on time
10.3%30+ min late
0.8%cancelled
1,179scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late5.9%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.2%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+5.3 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for TPA to MSP?

Among qualifying TPA-to-MSP departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 90.9% of 363 flights. Evening was lowest at 75.2% across 282 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning36390.9%4.1%0.3%
Late morning8478.6%9.5%2.4%
Afternoon45078.9%12.2%0.7%
Evening28275.2%15.2%1.4%

Which weekday was most reliable for TPA to MSP?

Among qualifying TPA-to-MSP weekday results, Wednesday had the highest on-time rate: 86.1% of 165 flights. Sunday was lowest at 69.3% across 179 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday17783.1%9.6%0.0%
Tuesday16384.0%9.2%1.2%
Wednesday16586.1%6.7%0.0%
Thursday17485.1%6.3%0.6%
Friday17585.1%9.7%0.0%
Saturday14679.5%11.6%0.7%
Sunday17969.3%18.4%3.4%

Which airline was most reliable for TPA to MSP?

Only Delta Air Lines met the TPA-to-MSP airline threshold: 81.7% of 1,179 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines1,17981.7%10.3%0.8%

Which month was most reliable for TPA to MSP?

Among qualifying TPA-to-MSP month results, April 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 90.8% of 120 flights. December 2025 was lowest at 71.4% across 98 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202511478.9%15.8%0.0%
August 20259178.0%14.3%0.0%
September 20257288.9%6.9%0.0%
October 20258087.5%7.5%0.0%
November 20258188.9%7.4%1.2%
December 20259871.4%16.3%3.1%
January 20269588.4%5.3%1.1%
February 20268473.8%9.5%0.0%
March 202611776.1%12.0%4.3%
April 202612090.8%3.3%0.0%
May 202611781.2%12.0%0.0%
June 202611079.1%10.9%0.0%

What drove TPA to MSP delay minutes?

Airline was the largest recorded TPA-to-MSP delay category, accounting for 42.7% of 14,893 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline42.7%
Late aircraft33.4%
National airspace20.4%
Weather3.2%
Security0.3%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.