BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MSP→TPA

Minneapolis, MN (MSP) to Tampa, FL (TPA) flight delay odds

79.7% of 1,179 official scheduled MSP-to-TPA flights arrived on time; 12.6% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 0.9% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
79.7%arrived on time
12.6%30+ min late
0.9%cancelled
1,179scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late6.6%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.0%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+4.5 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MSP to TPA?

Among qualifying MSP-to-TPA departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 87.0% of 339 flights. Evening was lowest at 72.0% across 347 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning33987.0%6.8%0.9%
Late morning19576.4%14.9%1.5%
Afternoon29882.6%10.4%1.3%
Evening34772.0%18.7%0.3%

Which weekday was most reliable for MSP to TPA?

Among qualifying MSP-to-TPA weekday results, Thursday had the highest on-time rate: 85.5% of 173 flights. Sunday was lowest at 71.5% across 179 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday17780.2%15.3%0.6%
Tuesday16385.3%9.2%1.2%
Wednesday16582.4%7.3%0.0%
Thursday17385.5%8.7%0.6%
Friday17580.0%12.6%0.0%
Saturday14772.8%17.7%0.7%
Sunday17971.5%17.3%3.4%

Which airline was most reliable for MSP to TPA?

Only Delta Air Lines met the MSP-to-TPA airline threshold: 79.7% of 1,179 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines1,17979.7%12.6%0.9%

Which month was most reliable for MSP to TPA?

Among qualifying MSP-to-TPA month results, April 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 91.7% of 120 flights. December 2025 was lowest at 65.3% across 98 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202511471.1%22.8%0.0%
August 20259179.1%14.3%0.0%
September 20257286.1%6.9%0.0%
October 20258085.0%10.0%0.0%
November 20258184.0%7.4%1.2%
December 20259865.3%20.4%3.1%
January 20269576.8%12.6%1.1%
February 20268485.7%8.3%0.0%
March 202611776.1%12.0%5.1%
April 202612091.7%6.7%0.0%
May 202611778.6%12.0%0.0%
June 202611080.9%13.6%0.0%

What drove MSP to TPA delay minutes?

Airline was the largest recorded MSP-to-TPA delay category, accounting for 55.5% of 13,702 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline55.5%
Late aircraft14.6%
National airspace26.8%
Weather2.9%
Security0.2%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.