BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
TPA→BUF

Tampa, FL (TPA) to Buffalo, NY (BUF) flight delay odds

78.6% of 756 official scheduled TPA-to-BUF flights arrived on time; 12.4% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.2% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
78.6%arrived on time
12.4%30+ min late
1.2%cancelled
756scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late6.1%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late1.9%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.4%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+6.4 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for TPA to BUF?

Among qualifying TPA-to-BUF departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 93.3% of 300 flights. Evening was lowest at 62.6% across 182 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning30093.3%2.3%1.7%
Late morning10684.0%11.3%0.0%
Afternoon14867.6%20.9%0.7%
Evening18262.6%22.5%1.1%

Which weekday was most reliable for TPA to BUF?

Among qualifying TPA-to-BUF weekday results, Wednesday had the highest on-time rate: 83.9% of 87 flights. Sunday was lowest at 74.1% across 116 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday10978.0%9.2%1.8%
Tuesday9474.5%12.8%1.1%
Wednesday8783.9%10.3%1.1%
Thursday12180.2%11.6%0.0%
Friday10983.5%13.8%0.0%
Saturday12076.7%14.2%0.8%
Sunday11674.1%14.7%3.4%

Which airline was most reliable for TPA to BUF?

Among qualifying TPA-to-BUF airline results, Frontier Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 78.7% of 127 flights. Southwest Airlines was lowest at 78.5% across 629 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines62978.5%12.2%1.3%
Frontier Airlines12778.7%13.4%0.8%

Which month was most reliable for TPA to BUF?

Among qualifying TPA-to-BUF month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 95.4% of 65 flights. July 2025 was lowest at 64.3% across 56 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20255664.3%19.6%0.0%
August 20257586.7%9.3%0.0%
September 20256595.4%0.0%0.0%
October 20256282.3%11.3%0.0%
November 20256076.7%11.7%1.7%
December 20255673.2%16.1%3.6%
January 20266481.2%9.4%3.1%
February 20267169.0%15.5%2.8%
March 20267675.0%21.1%1.3%
April 20267382.2%12.3%0.0%
May 20266675.8%10.6%1.5%
June 20263278.1%12.5%0.0%

What drove TPA to BUF delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded TPA-to-BUF delay category, accounting for 54.5% of 8,689 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline27.6%
Late aircraft54.5%
National airspace14.5%
Weather3.4%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.