BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
BUF→TPA

Buffalo, NY (BUF) to Tampa, FL (TPA) flight delay odds

77.8% of 757 official scheduled BUF-to-TPA flights arrived on time; 13.2% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 0.5% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
77.8%arrived on time
13.2%30+ min late
0.5%cancelled
757scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late7.3%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.0%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.4%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+6.9 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for BUF to TPA?

Among qualifying BUF-to-TPA departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 92.6% of 283 flights. Evening was lowest at 65.8% across 275 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning28392.6%5.3%0.0%
Afternoon15973.6%16.4%0.0%
Evening27565.8%20.4%0.7%

Which weekday was most reliable for BUF to TPA?

Among qualifying BUF-to-TPA weekday results, Friday had the highest on-time rate: 89.0% of 109 flights. Sunday was lowest at 70.7% across 116 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday10976.1%13.8%2.8%
Tuesday9480.9%10.6%0.0%
Wednesday8887.5%9.1%0.0%
Thursday12173.6%15.7%0.0%
Friday10989.0%6.4%0.0%
Saturday12070.8%15.8%0.8%
Sunday11670.7%19.0%0.0%

Which airline was most reliable for BUF to TPA?

Among qualifying BUF-to-TPA airline results, Southwest Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 78.9% of 630 flights. Frontier Airlines was lowest at 72.4% across 127 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines63078.9%12.7%0.3%
Frontier Airlines12772.4%15.7%1.6%

Which month was most reliable for BUF to TPA?

Among qualifying BUF-to-TPA month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 92.3% of 65 flights. July 2025 was lowest at 57.1% across 56 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20255657.1%26.8%0.0%
August 20257576.0%16.0%0.0%
September 20256592.3%0.0%0.0%
October 20256285.5%8.1%0.0%
November 20256080.0%11.7%1.7%
December 20255667.9%19.6%1.8%
January 20266482.8%10.9%0.0%
February 20267183.1%11.3%0.0%
March 20267668.4%19.7%1.3%
April 20267387.7%4.1%1.4%
May 20266674.2%18.2%0.0%
June 20263372.7%15.2%0.0%

What drove BUF to TPA delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded BUF-to-TPA delay category, accounting for 65.5% of 10,539 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline19.9%
Late aircraft65.5%
National airspace14.6%
Weather0.0%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.