BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
STL→ORD

St. Louis, MO (STL) to Chicago, IL (ORD) flight delay odds

68.7% of 3,070 official scheduled STL-to-ORD flights arrived on time; 19.6% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 3.2% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
68.7%arrived on time
19.6%30+ min late
3.2%cancelled
3,070scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late11.6%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late5.9%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+20.9 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for STL to ORD?

Among qualifying STL-to-ORD departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 79.1% of 930 flights. Evening was lowest at 57.6% across 780 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning93079.1%13.1%2.2%
Late morning30275.5%18.2%1.7%
Afternoon1,05665.8%21.9%3.6%
Evening78057.6%25.0%4.6%

Which weekday was most reliable for STL to ORD?

Among qualifying STL-to-ORD weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 72.3% of 441 flights. Sunday was lowest at 64.4% across 450 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday45764.6%23.4%5.9%
Tuesday44172.3%16.3%1.8%
Wednesday43371.6%17.1%2.8%
Thursday45070.0%17.3%2.7%
Friday44966.8%19.8%3.6%
Saturday39072.1%17.4%2.8%
Sunday45064.4%25.6%2.9%

Which airline was most reliable for STL to ORD?

Among qualifying STL-to-ORD airline results, American Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 78.6% of 533 flights. SkyWest Airlines was lowest at 59.7% across 836 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
SkyWest Airlines83659.7%27.2%4.9%
Envoy Air72872.7%17.3%2.6%
American Airlines53378.6%13.7%2.4%
United Airlines52567.4%18.3%1.5%
Republic Airways44869.0%18.1%4.0%

Which month was most reliable for STL to ORD?

Among qualifying STL-to-ORD month results, February 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 83.2% of 185 flights. March 2026 was lowest at 60.1% across 271 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202528960.2%26.0%1.7%
August 202525566.3%18.4%3.9%
September 202523980.3%12.1%0.8%
October 202527470.4%17.9%0.0%
November 202524164.7%22.4%4.6%
December 202524060.8%30.0%2.9%
January 202615667.9%22.4%4.5%
February 202618583.2%9.7%0.5%
March 202627160.1%22.9%8.1%
April 202629467.7%19.0%5.1%
May 202632278.9%13.0%1.9%
June 202630467.1%21.1%4.3%

What drove STL to ORD delay minutes?

National airspace was the largest recorded STL-to-ORD delay category, accounting for 32.3% of 82,778 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline28.8%
Late aircraft29.3%
National airspace32.3%
Weather9.5%
Security0.1%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.