BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
ORD→STL

Chicago, IL (ORD) to St. Louis, MO (STL) flight delay odds

68.9% of 3,068 official scheduled ORD-to-STL flights arrived on time; 19.9% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 2.7% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
68.9%arrived on time
19.9%30+ min late
2.7%cancelled
3,068scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late11.0%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late4.4%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+15.5 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for ORD to STL?

Among qualifying ORD-to-STL departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 75.7% of 440 flights. Night was lowest at 56.6% across 309 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning44075.7%13.0%2.0%
Late morning32073.1%17.8%1.6%
Afternoon1,30974.0%15.4%2.4%
Evening69058.6%28.6%3.5%
Night30956.6%31.4%4.5%

Which weekday was most reliable for ORD to STL?

Among qualifying ORD-to-STL weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 75.3% of 446 flights. Sunday was lowest at 63.4% across 448 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday45865.7%22.9%5.5%
Tuesday44675.3%14.8%1.3%
Wednesday42970.2%20.5%1.2%
Thursday45172.5%16.0%2.4%
Friday44865.8%22.8%2.5%
Saturday38869.8%14.7%3.6%
Sunday44863.4%26.6%2.7%

Which airline was most reliable for ORD to STL?

Among qualifying ORD-to-STL airline results, Republic Airways had the highest on-time rate: 74.3% of 444 flights. American Airlines was lowest at 63.7% across 535 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
SkyWest Airlines83465.0%21.9%4.2%
Envoy Air72773.0%16.4%2.3%
American Airlines53563.7%25.6%2.6%
United Airlines52870.3%18.6%1.3%
Republic Airways44474.3%16.2%2.5%

Which month was most reliable for ORD to STL?

Among qualifying ORD-to-STL month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 82.9% of 240 flights. December 2025 was lowest at 56.8% across 241 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202528861.1%26.4%1.0%
August 202525669.9%21.5%3.1%
September 202524082.9%11.7%0.8%
October 202527372.9%18.7%0.0%
November 202524073.3%16.7%4.6%
December 202524156.8%29.0%3.3%
January 202615662.8%21.2%2.6%
February 202618569.7%18.9%0.5%
March 202627160.1%23.2%7.7%
April 202629164.9%18.9%4.8%
May 202632476.9%15.4%1.2%
June 202630372.9%17.5%2.6%

What drove ORD to STL delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded ORD-to-STL delay category, accounting for 43.5% of 62,814 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline31.9%
Late aircraft43.5%
National airspace13.5%
Weather11.1%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.