BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
SRQ→MDW

Sarasota/Bradenton, FL (SRQ) to Chicago, IL (MDW) flight delay odds

70.9% of 519 official scheduled SRQ-to-MDW flights arrived on time; 15.4% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.7% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
70.9%arrived on time
15.4%30+ min late
1.7%cancelled
519scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late7.3%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.5%all scheduled flights
Diverted1.5%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+12.1 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for SRQ to MDW?

Among qualifying SRQ-to-MDW departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 91.1% of 157 flights. Evening was lowest at 48.5% across 171 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning15791.1%2.5%1.9%
Late morning6186.9%6.6%0.0%
Afternoon13068.5%16.9%2.3%
Evening17148.5%29.2%1.8%

Which weekday was most reliable for SRQ to MDW?

Among qualifying SRQ-to-MDW weekday results, Wednesday had the highest on-time rate: 78.1% of 64 flights. Tuesday was lowest at 66.7% across 66 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday8067.5%17.5%2.5%
Tuesday6666.7%18.2%1.5%
Wednesday6478.1%10.9%0.0%
Thursday8172.8%14.8%3.7%
Friday8171.6%19.8%1.2%
Saturday8368.7%10.8%2.4%
Sunday6471.9%15.6%0.0%

Which airline was most reliable for SRQ to MDW?

Only Southwest Airlines met the SRQ-to-MDW airline threshold: 70.9% of 519 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines51970.9%15.4%1.7%

Which month was most reliable for SRQ to MDW?

Among qualifying SRQ-to-MDW month results, October 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 93.5% of 31 flights. March 2026 was lowest at 59.5% across 79 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20255766.7%17.5%1.8%
August 20253476.5%8.8%0.0%
September 20253093.3%3.3%0.0%
October 20253193.5%3.2%0.0%
November 20253372.7%12.1%3.0%
December 20253366.7%21.2%0.0%
January 20263271.9%15.6%3.1%
February 20264170.7%14.6%0.0%
March 20267959.5%19.0%7.6%
April 20265166.7%21.6%0.0%
May 20264463.6%27.3%0.0%
June 20265474.1%9.3%0.0%

What drove SRQ to MDW delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded SRQ-to-MDW delay category, accounting for 49.1% of 7,711 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline23.0%
Late aircraft49.1%
National airspace26.1%
Weather1.9%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.