BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MDW→SRQ

Chicago, IL (MDW) to Sarasota/Bradenton, FL (SRQ) flight delay odds

71.7% of 519 official scheduled MDW-to-SRQ flights arrived on time; 13.1% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.5% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
71.7%arrived on time
13.1%30+ min late
1.5%cancelled
519scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late5.2%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late1.2%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+8.2 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MDW to SRQ?

Among qualifying MDW-to-SRQ departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 81.2% of 128 flights. Evening was lowest at 65.9% across 176 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning12881.2%9.4%1.6%
Late morning4770.2%12.8%0.0%
Afternoon16870.8%12.5%1.2%
Evening17665.9%16.5%2.3%

Which weekday was most reliable for MDW to SRQ?

Among qualifying MDW-to-SRQ weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 75.8% of 66 flights. Sunday was lowest at 65.6% across 64 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday8066.2%15.0%3.8%
Tuesday6675.8%15.2%0.0%
Wednesday6471.9%10.9%1.6%
Thursday8174.1%18.5%1.2%
Friday8172.8%8.6%2.5%
Saturday8374.7%8.4%1.2%
Sunday6465.6%15.6%0.0%

Which airline was most reliable for MDW to SRQ?

Only Southwest Airlines met the MDW-to-SRQ airline threshold: 71.7% of 519 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines51971.7%13.1%1.5%

Which month was most reliable for MDW to SRQ?

Among qualifying MDW-to-SRQ month results, February 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 85.4% of 41 flights. October 2025 was lowest at 58.1% across 31 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20255766.7%15.8%1.8%
August 20253473.5%14.7%0.0%
September 20253076.7%6.7%0.0%
October 20253158.1%12.9%0.0%
November 20253384.8%9.1%3.0%
December 20253366.7%18.2%0.0%
January 20263275.0%3.1%0.0%
February 20264185.4%9.8%0.0%
March 20267958.2%21.5%5.1%
April 20265174.5%13.7%2.0%
May 20264470.5%13.6%0.0%
June 20265481.5%7.4%1.9%

What drove MDW to SRQ delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded MDW-to-SRQ delay category, accounting for 59.3% of 6,184 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline18.2%
Late aircraft59.3%
National airspace18.4%
Weather0.4%
Security3.6%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.