BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
SNA→SMF

Santa Ana, CA (SNA) to Sacramento, CA (SMF) flight delay odds

85.0% of 2,304 official scheduled SNA-to-SMF flights arrived on time; 8.2% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 0.8% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
85.0%arrived on time
8.2%30+ min late
0.8%cancelled
2,304scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late3.6%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late1.0%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+0.2 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for SNA to SMF?

Among qualifying SNA-to-SMF departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 95.3% of 446 flights. Evening was lowest at 77.7% across 748 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning44695.3%2.5%0.9%
Late morning39591.1%6.3%0.3%
Afternoon69383.3%8.4%0.6%
Evening74877.7%12.8%0.9%

Which weekday was most reliable for SNA to SMF?

Among qualifying SNA-to-SMF weekday results, Saturday had the highest on-time rate: 88.9% of 207 flights. Sunday was lowest at 77.4% across 363 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday36788.6%5.7%0.8%
Tuesday32088.8%5.6%1.2%
Wednesday31688.6%7.3%0.3%
Thursday36881.8%10.9%0.8%
Friday36383.5%9.9%0.6%
Saturday20788.9%6.3%1.9%
Sunday36377.4%10.7%0.6%

Which airline was most reliable for SNA to SMF?

Only Southwest Airlines met the SNA-to-SMF airline threshold: 85.0% of 2,304 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines2,30485.0%8.2%0.8%

Which month was most reliable for SNA to SMF?

Among qualifying SNA-to-SMF month results, February 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 91.0% of 166 flights. July 2025 was lowest at 77.5% across 209 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202520977.5%10.5%2.9%
August 202520990.4%5.7%0.5%
September 202520682.5%7.3%1.0%
October 202518585.9%8.1%0.5%
November 202519282.8%11.5%0.0%
December 202519884.8%8.1%1.0%
January 202617490.8%7.5%0.0%
February 202616691.0%5.4%0.0%
March 202619587.7%4.6%3.1%
April 202618981.0%12.2%0.0%
May 202619284.9%9.9%0.0%
June 202618982.0%7.9%0.5%

What drove SNA to SMF delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded SNA-to-SMF delay category, accounting for 69.5% of 16,466 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline24.3%
Late aircraft69.5%
National airspace6.1%
Weather0.0%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.