BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
SNASMF

Santa Ana, CA (SNA) to Sacramento, CA (SMF) flight delay odds

Historically, 85.0% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 2,304 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
85.0%arrived on time
8.2%30+ min late
0.8%cancelled
2,304scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late3.6%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late1.0%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+0.2 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning44695.3%2.5%0.9%
Late morning39591.1%6.3%0.3%
Afternoon69383.3%8.4%0.6%
Evening74877.7%12.8%0.9%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday36788.6%5.7%0.8%
Tuesday32088.8%5.6%1.2%
Wednesday31688.6%7.3%0.3%
Thursday36881.8%10.9%0.8%
Friday36383.5%9.9%0.6%
Saturday20788.9%6.3%1.9%
Sunday36377.4%10.7%0.6%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines2,30485.0%8.2%0.8%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202520977.5%10.5%2.9%
August 202520990.4%5.7%0.5%
September 202520682.5%7.3%1.0%
October 202518585.9%8.1%0.5%
November 202519282.8%11.5%0.0%
December 202519884.8%8.1%1.0%
January 202617490.8%7.5%0.0%
February 202616691.0%5.4%0.0%
March 202619587.7%4.6%3.1%
April 202618981.0%12.2%0.0%
May 202619284.9%9.9%0.0%
June 202618982.0%7.9%0.5%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline24.3%
Late aircraft69.5%
National airspace6.1%
Weather0.0%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.