BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
SMF→SNA

Sacramento, CA (SMF) to Santa Ana, CA (SNA) flight delay odds

83.8% of 2,304 official scheduled SMF-to-SNA flights arrived on time; 8.1% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 0.5% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
83.8%arrived on time
8.1%30+ min late
0.5%cancelled
2,304scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late3.1%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late0.7%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.0%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+0.3 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for SMF to SNA?

Among qualifying SMF-to-SNA departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 92.8% of 529 flights. Evening was lowest at 78.9% across 644 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning52992.8%3.6%0.4%
Late morning32989.4%5.2%0.9%
Afternoon80279.4%9.6%0.4%
Evening64478.9%11.5%0.5%

Which weekday was most reliable for SMF to SNA?

Among qualifying SMF-to-SNA weekday results, Wednesday had the highest on-time rate: 89.9% of 316 flights. Thursday was lowest at 79.3% across 368 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday36781.7%8.2%1.4%
Tuesday32088.4%5.9%0.6%
Wednesday31689.9%5.7%0.0%
Thursday36879.3%10.3%0.3%
Friday36382.4%9.9%0.3%
Saturday20781.2%8.7%0.5%
Sunday36383.7%7.7%0.3%

Which airline was most reliable for SMF to SNA?

Only Southwest Airlines met the SMF-to-SNA airline threshold: 83.8% of 2,304 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines2,30483.8%8.1%0.5%

Which month was most reliable for SMF to SNA?

Among qualifying SMF-to-SNA month results, January 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 90.8% of 174 flights. October 2025 was lowest at 78.4% across 185 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202520982.8%7.2%2.4%
August 202520987.1%5.7%1.0%
September 202520687.9%5.3%0.0%
October 202518578.4%11.4%0.0%
November 202519283.9%11.5%0.0%
December 202519881.8%9.1%0.0%
January 202617490.8%4.0%0.0%
February 202616687.3%6.6%0.0%
March 202619581.5%8.2%1.5%
April 202618980.4%7.9%0.5%
May 202619282.3%11.5%0.0%
June 202618981.5%9.0%0.0%

What drove SMF to SNA delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded SMF-to-SNA delay category, accounting for 67.6% of 15,489 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline25.8%
Late aircraft67.6%
National airspace6.3%
Weather0.3%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.